Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

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Roux
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

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HighPlainsGrifter wrote: Fri Nov 01, 2024 1:38 am
FiatLux wrote: Thu Oct 31, 2024 5:15 pm Trumpers murder another woman. Roevember is coming.


https://www.houstonpublicmedia.org/arti ... rtion-ban/
Pretty much a 0.00% chance that happened.

Not only did it happen, here it is again happening in the same state.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

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HighPlainsGrifter wrote: Fri Oct 18, 2024 3:09 am
FiatLux wrote: Thu Oct 17, 2024 3:20 am She's starting to pull away.


Harris leading Trump by 5 points among likely voters: Poll



https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4 ... rump-poll/
Did you look at the poll methodology?

You should. It's not good for your girl.
Bump.

I wonder if Fiat will ever get tired of being duped by a lying Media.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

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He’s not very bright so……nah.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by FiatLux »

Looks like some "woke" seeped into Dumbfuckistan.



North Dakota state park will no longer be named for Civil War general who fought Native Americans

https://apnews.com/article/north-dakota ... 5185ce7aa0



Is the Dumbfuckistan province of North Dakota trying to defect into America?

Eh, maybe we can find a citizen of Dumbfuckistan that has some knowledge a boot this developing problem?
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by HighPlainsGrifter »

FiatLux wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2024 10:11 pm The silent majority will be coming out just like they did in Europe.

There is no way real Americans will be supporting a xenophobic right-wing nut Job.

Just like in 2020. When all the trumpers on this board said Trump would win in a landslide. I laughed.

After the election. I laughed even harder.

If Trump lost to freaking Biden in 2020. There's no way in hell he's going to beat an intelligent woman of color from the San Francisco Bay area.

I'm laughing now. And I'll be laughing even harder after the election again.

Too funny.
This aged like milk on a sidewalk.

If you want to know What Happened, Claire Lehmann is here to explain.
Revenge of the Silent Male Voter

What I learned about Trump’s landslide victory from one night in New York City.

On election day, I caught the subway from Brooklyn to Manhattan. Sitting across from me, an elderly woman wore a T-shirt with the image of Trump pumping his fist in the air with the words “fight, fight.” A small “I Voted” sticker was pressed onto her lapel.

She sat with an easy confidence. There were no disapproving glances from other passengers. There was no tension. No conflict. It struck me that in 2024 it was now perfectly acceptable to express support for Trump in a deep blue (Democratically held) city. As I travelled to my destination I wondered: If one could support Trump this openly in New York City, what might support look like in the rest of the country?

A few hours later I attended an exclusive, well-heeled party. I spoke to various professionals who said that they had never voted Republican in their lives, but had voted for Trump that day due to his support—in their words—“for the Jews.” These Manhattanites told me that Kamala was too sympathetic to the “pro-Hamas contingent” of the far-Left, and at a time of rising antisemitism, they couldn’t bring themselves to support her. This small group of cosmopolitans represented a contingent far-removed from the stereotypical MAGA voter. And yet listening to their views, it again occurred to me: if I could find such support for Trump in the middle of a Democratic heartland—what might it look like in the rest of the country?

When I arrived at my final stop of the evening—a private underground bar in the Lower East side of the city—a celebratory atmosphere had begun to explode. The betting markets tipped a Trump win, and online supporters of Harris had started to express acceptance of defeat. The beer here had already run dry. It was so bustling that it was hard to move, with young men in their twenties and early thirties outnumbering women by 2:1. These men were diverse: white, black, Hispanic, Asian. A few wore Trump caps, but the aesthetic was more like a university dorm than a MAGA rally. “This is the counter-culture,” one party goer told me. “This isn’t just about Trump,” another said. “It’s about Vance and Musk. It's about American dynamism.”

In the coming days, much will be written about working class concerns—issues that have become familiar focal points for those seeking to understand Trump’s support. But while inflation and border policies will have no doubt played a role in the Republicans’ landslide victory, we might also want to look at the sentiments expressed by young male voters—voters who represent a new and emerging contingent in American politics. Nothing about the young men I spoke to appeared particularly conservative or “right-wing.” Yet it was easy for them to explain why they voted for Trump. And if we zoom out and look at broader cultural trends, it should be easy for us to understand too.

If we take a macro perspective, we see that such young men have never known a culture in which males are not routinely described as “problematic,” “toxic,” or “oppressive.” Going to university, and working at modern companies, they live in a world of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion policies—many of which promote an insidious and pervasive form of anti-male discrimination. Yet to talk about it in public invites social ostracism. To criticise DEI is to risk being called a Nazi.

These young male voters know about theories of patriarchy and white supremacy, but they have never known a culture which celebrates the Great Man Theory of history. Thomas Carlyle’s nineteenth-century framework for understanding the past is seen as an anachronism, not worthy of serious thought. Today we acknowledge historical figures not for their feats, but for their crimes. Whether it is due to slavery, colonisation, racism, or sexism, we tear down the monuments of our past, while building no new heroes for our future.

The problem with this way of viewing the world is that it is alienating and self-defeating. It is also wrong. By any objective standards, Elon Musk is a great man of history, who is influencing the course of human civilisation for generations to come. As one party-goer told me, “He caught a fucking rocket with mechanical chopsticks.” Yet despite his achievements, Musk is more likely to be scorned than celebrated by the Democratic establishment.

This tension between achievement and resentment explains much about our current moment. The young men I met that night in Manhattan weren’t just voting for Trump’s policies. They were voting for a different view of history and human nature. In their world, individual greatness matters. Male ambition serves a purpose. Risk-taking and defiance create progress.

This is why the Trump victory transcends conventional political analysis. It represents more than a rebuke of border policies or inflation rates. It signals a resurrection of old truths: that civilisation advances through the actions of remarkable individuals, that male traits can build rather than destroy, and that greatness—despite our modern discomfort with the concept—remains a force in human affairs.

The elderly woman on the subway, the Manhattan professionals, and the young men at the underground bar all sensed a shift. They saw in Trump not just a candidate, but a challenge to a psychosocial orthodoxy that has dominated American institutions for a generation. Their votes marked not just a political preference, but a cultural correction.

As the final results came in that night, it became clear that what I witnessed in New York was playing out across the nation. The election wasn’t just a victory for Trump. It was a victory for a way of seeing the world that many thought dead: one where individual achievement matters, where male ambition serves a purpose, and where great men still shape the course of history.
I other words, a plurality of voters and a vast majority of the electorate rejected San Francisco Bay Area philosophies. Just like I FUCKING TOLD YOU. Your tech billionaires and toxic academic institutions are quickly becoming a minority. Have fun being inconsequential.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by Sven Golly »

Sudden Sam wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 5:24 pm He’s not very bright so……nah.
These liberal prognosticator/pundits/forecasters/pollsters/charlatans will NEVER EVER learn.

Nor will anyone make them explain their suspect "math".

You'll see the same idiots like Allan Lichtman again in 4 years, and brain-dead fools like Fiat will slurp it up.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by FiatLux »

FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 5:50 pm Looks like some "woke" seeped into Dumbfuckistan.



North Dakota state park will no longer be named for Civil War general who fought Native Americans

https://apnews.com/article/north-dakota ... 5185ce7aa0



Is the Dumbfuckistan province of North Dakota trying to defect into America?

Eh, maybe we can find a citizen of Dumbfuckistan that has some knowledge a boot this developing problem?


bump
Sven Golly
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by Sven Golly »

HighPlainsGrifter wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 6:40 pm
FiatLux wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2024 10:11 pm The silent majority will be coming out just like they did in Europe.

There is no way real Americans will be supporting a xenophobic right-wing nut Job.

Just like in 2020. When all the trumpers on this board said Trump would win in a landslide. I laughed.

After the election. I laughed even harder.

If Trump lost to freaking Biden in 2020. There's no way in hell he's going to beat an intelligent woman of color from the San Francisco Bay area.

I'm laughing now. And I'll be laughing even harder after the election again.

Too funny.
This aged like milk on a sidewalk.

If you want to know What Happened, Claire Lehmann is here to explain.
Revenge of the Silent Male Voter

What I learned about Trump’s landslide victory from one night in New York City.

On election day, I caught the subway from Brooklyn to Manhattan. Sitting across from me, an elderly woman wore a T-shirt with the image of Trump pumping his fist in the air with the words “fight, fight.” A small “I Voted” sticker was pressed onto her lapel.

She sat with an easy confidence. There were no disapproving glances from other passengers. There was no tension. No conflict. It struck me that in 2024 it was now perfectly acceptable to express support for Trump in a deep blue (Democratically held) city. As I travelled to my destination I wondered: If one could support Trump this openly in New York City, what might support look like in the rest of the country?

A few hours later I attended an exclusive, well-heeled party. I spoke to various professionals who said that they had never voted Republican in their lives, but had voted for Trump that day due to his support—in their words—“for the Jews.” These Manhattanites told me that Kamala was too sympathetic to the “pro-Hamas contingent” of the far-Left, and at a time of rising antisemitism, they couldn’t bring themselves to support her. This small group of cosmopolitans represented a contingent far-removed from the stereotypical MAGA voter. And yet listening to their views, it again occurred to me: if I could find such support for Trump in the middle of a Democratic heartland—what might it look like in the rest of the country?

When I arrived at my final stop of the evening—a private underground bar in the Lower East side of the city—a celebratory atmosphere had begun to explode. The betting markets tipped a Trump win, and online supporters of Harris had started to express acceptance of defeat. The beer here had already run dry. It was so bustling that it was hard to move, with young men in their twenties and early thirties outnumbering women by 2:1. These men were diverse: white, black, Hispanic, Asian. A few wore Trump caps, but the aesthetic was more like a university dorm than a MAGA rally. “This is the counter-culture,” one party goer told me. “This isn’t just about Trump,” another said. “It’s about Vance and Musk. It's about American dynamism.”

In the coming days, much will be written about working class concerns—issues that have become familiar focal points for those seeking to understand Trump’s support. But while inflation and border policies will have no doubt played a role in the Republicans’ landslide victory, we might also want to look at the sentiments expressed by young male voters—voters who represent a new and emerging contingent in American politics. Nothing about the young men I spoke to appeared particularly conservative or “right-wing.” Yet it was easy for them to explain why they voted for Trump. And if we zoom out and look at broader cultural trends, it should be easy for us to understand too.

If we take a macro perspective, we see that such young men have never known a culture in which males are not routinely described as “problematic,” “toxic,” or “oppressive.” Going to university, and working at modern companies, they live in a world of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion policies—many of which promote an insidious and pervasive form of anti-male discrimination. Yet to talk about it in public invites social ostracism. To criticise DEI is to risk being called a Nazi.

These young male voters know about theories of patriarchy and white supremacy, but they have never known a culture which celebrates the Great Man Theory of history. Thomas Carlyle’s nineteenth-century framework for understanding the past is seen as an anachronism, not worthy of serious thought. Today we acknowledge historical figures not for their feats, but for their crimes. Whether it is due to slavery, colonisation, racism, or sexism, we tear down the monuments of our past, while building no new heroes for our future.

The problem with this way of viewing the world is that it is alienating and self-defeating. It is also wrong. By any objective standards, Elon Musk is a great man of history, who is influencing the course of human civilisation for generations to come. As one party-goer told me, “He caught a fucking rocket with mechanical chopsticks.” Yet despite his achievements, Musk is more likely to be scorned than celebrated by the Democratic establishment.

This tension between achievement and resentment explains much about our current moment. The young men I met that night in Manhattan weren’t just voting for Trump’s policies. They were voting for a different view of history and human nature. In their world, individual greatness matters. Male ambition serves a purpose. Risk-taking and defiance create progress.

This is why the Trump victory transcends conventional political analysis. It represents more than a rebuke of border policies or inflation rates. It signals a resurrection of old truths: that civilisation advances through the actions of remarkable individuals, that male traits can build rather than destroy, and that greatness—despite our modern discomfort with the concept—remains a force in human affairs.

The elderly woman on the subway, the Manhattan professionals, and the young men at the underground bar all sensed a shift. They saw in Trump not just a candidate, but a challenge to a psychosocial orthodoxy that has dominated American institutions for a generation. Their votes marked not just a political preference, but a cultural correction.

As the final results came in that night, it became clear that what I witnessed in New York was playing out across the nation. The election wasn’t just a victory for Trump. It was a victory for a way of seeing the world that many thought dead: one where individual achievement matters, where male ambition serves a purpose, and where great men still shape the course of history.
I other words, a plurality of voters and a vast majority of the electorate rejected San Francisco Bay Area philosophies. Just like I FUCKING TOLD YOU. Your tech billionaires and toxic academic institutions are quickly becoming a minority. Have fun being inconsequential.
Amen and spot on

Plus Barron recommended some solid podcasts for his dad to appear on to solidify the young male vote - so there's that
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FiatLux
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by FiatLux »

FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 6:46 pm
FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 5:50 pm Looks like some "woke" seeped into Dumbfuckistan.



North Dakota state park will no longer be named for Civil War general who fought Native Americans

https://apnews.com/article/north-dakota ... 5185ce7aa0



Is the Dumbfuckistan province of North Dakota trying to defect into America?

Eh, maybe we can find a citizen of Dumbfuckistan that has some knowledge a boot this developing problem?


bump


*crickets*
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Meat Head
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by Meat Head »

Yeah. Nobody gives a fuck.
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FiatLux
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by FiatLux »

Meat Head wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 7:11 pm Yeah. Nobody gives a fuck.


We'll see. Hopefully he shows up and answers the the question.

Then we'll know if you're right and he gives a fuck.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by StrawMan »

HighPlainsGrifter wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 6:40 pm These young male voters know about theories of patriarchy and white supremacy, but they have never known a culture which celebrates the Great Man Theory of history. Thomas Carlyle’s nineteenth-century framework for understanding the past is seen as an anachronism, not worthy of serious thought. Today we acknowledge historical figures not for their feats, but for their crimes. Whether it is due to slavery, colonization, racism, or sexism, we tear down the monuments of our past, while building no new heroes for our future.

The problem with this way of viewing the world is that it is alienating and self-defeating. It is also wrong. By any objective standards, Elon Musk is a great man of history, who is influencing the course of human civilisation for generations to come. As one party-goer told me, “He caught a fucking rocket with mechanical chopsticks.” Yet despite his achievements, Musk is more likely to be scorned than celebrated by the Democratic establishment.


This tension between achievement and resentment explains much about our current moment. The young men I met that night in Manhattan weren’t just voting for Trump’s policies. They were voting for a different view of history and human nature. In their world, individual greatness matters. Male ambition serves a purpose. Risk-taking and defiance create progress.

This is why the Trump victory transcends conventional political analysis. It represents more than a rebuke of border policies or inflation rates. It signals a resurrection of old truths: that civilisation advances through the actions of remarkable individuals, that male traits can build rather than destroy, and that greatness—despite our modern discomfort with the concept—remains a force in human affairs.

The elderly woman on the subway, the Manhattan professionals, and the young men at the underground bar all sensed a shift. They saw in Trump not just a candidate, but a challenge to a psychosocial orthodoxy that has dominated American institutions for a generation. Their votes marked not just a political preference, but a cultural correction.

As the final results came in that night, it became clear that what I witnessed in New York was playing out across the nation. The election wasn’t just a victory for Trump. It was a victory for a way of seeing the world that many thought dead: one where individual achievement matters, where male ambition serves a purpose, and where great men still shape the course of history.
Good read. RACK HPG
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by FiatLux »

FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 7:03 pm
FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 6:46 pm
FiatLux wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 5:50 pm Looks like some "woke" seeped into Dumbfuckistan.



North Dakota state park will no longer be named for Civil War general who fought Native Americans

https://apnews.com/article/north-dakota ... 5185ce7aa0



Is the Dumbfuckistan province of North Dakota trying to defect into America?

Eh, maybe we can find a citizen of Dumbfuckistan that has some knowledge a boot this developing problem?


bump


*crickets*

And there you have it


Too funny.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

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Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says...

his ass is very sore.
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by HighPlainsGrifter »

FiatCux Who Wants to Talk About ANYTHING BUT THE ELECTION wrote: North Dakota state park will no longer be named for Civil War general who fought Native Americans

https://apnews.com/article/north-dakota ... 5185ce7aa0



HPG won't react to me! :cry: :cry: :cry:
What do you want? You want a meltdown because wokeism invaded my Hitlerian paradise and renamed a state park to a title more commonly seen in a 1980's bath house? "Rough Rider" :lol: Sorry, friend, I ran out of fucks for Native American butthurt at least a decade ago. Similarly, I ran out of fucks for lies we were told about the Civil War at least 2 decades ago.

If Indians (feather, not dot) want their names off sports marquees, fukken gooooood.
If Savages (tomahawk, not doctors prescribing GnRH) want their likenesses removed from products, it can't happen quickly enough.
The sooner we put these conquered nations (Comanche, not Gazan) in the rearview, the better.

So I'm with you on this one. Let's pretend 1812-1920 never happened. Let's make a list of everyone involved, then systematically remove them from history and culture. You get to pretend the bay area was unlivable before soy ninja tech billionaries made California great. I get to pretend nobody populated the great plains until the benevolent white man altruistically made himself rich by sensually drilling holes in the ground and compassionately destroyed MuH cLiMaTe.

No problem on my end. Let's fukken go!
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by General Peters »

HighPlainsGrifter wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 6:40 pm
FiatLux wrote: Tue Jul 30, 2024 10:11 pm The silent majority will be coming out just like they did in Europe.

There is no way real Americans will be supporting a xenophobic right-wing nut Job.

Just like in 2020. When all the trumpers on this board said Trump would win in a landslide. I laughed.

After the election. I laughed even harder.

If Trump lost to freaking Biden in 2020. There's no way in hell he's going to beat an intelligent woman of color from the San Francisco Bay area.

I'm laughing now. And I'll be laughing even harder after the election again.

Too funny.
This aged like milk on a sidewalk.
lol great fukken bump. Where's Fiat? Bitch.
well kiss my ass and call it rosy
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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by The Seer »

Note how many millions more votes were cast in the 2020 elections than in the two previous and now in the 2024 contest. How did that happen? Where did that surplus supply come from? The Covid-19 scam provided the cover for a profligate mail-in ballot operation. They deluged the country with paper. Mark Zuckerberg provided $450-million through his cut-out charities to hire thousands of party activists to harvest and fill-out fraudulent ballots, and stuff them in drop-boxes by the hundredweight, with special attention to the crucial precincts in swing states — and that’s what landed the basement-cringing candidate, “Joe Biden,” in the White House.

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Re: Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says

Post by mvscal »

Softball Bat wrote: Thu Nov 07, 2024 8:52 pm Forecaster that predicted every election since ‘84 says...

his ass is very sore.
It will need to be surgically repaired. The Stiff Dick of Reality is merciless.
Screw_Michigan wrote: Fri Apr 05, 2019 4:39 pmUnlike you tards, I actually have functioning tastebuds and a refined pallet.
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