Killian wrote:On the surface, ND looks like they deserve a BCS shot. They're 10-2 with their two loses being to the #2 and #3 teams in the BCS. MOV was taken out as a factor, so that shouldn't be discussed when determining ND's BCS ranking. They have victories over 5 bowl bound teams and played a total of 7. So on paper, their resume appears that they deserve a spot.
But they don't. The offensive line is full of pussies who couldn't knock a JV team off the ball and their linebackers can't cover for shit or wrap up. Their Dline has 3 guys that will earn NFL paychecks, yet they can't get consistant pressure on the QB. Their best running back is a starting outside linebacker, and their starter at RB runs out of bounds more than Franco Harris.
The only players on offense who acts like they gives a shit are Quinn, Young, Carlson, Morton (he blows) and sometimes Samardzija. Their DC runs a system that leads to more confusion than control, and has players still checking their wristbands at the time of the snap.
I get the frustration here. Having said that, however, the offensive production this year is remarkably similar to last year's. It seems like a disappointment, though, because expectations were so much higher this year.
In many respects, this team is remarkably similar to last year's, and that holds true for BCS possibilities as well. What people on this board have focused on is the fact that this year's losses have been blowouts, but as you pointed out, MOV is not a factor in BCS rankings anymore. The blowout losses, together with the late-season loss (the result of a scheduling quirk in the USC series, are the only real differences between last year and this year.
On defense, I agree that the lack of pressure from the DL, given the talent we have at that position, is frustrating. Our LB's have played well considering that we start a converted RB, a converted OLB out of position in the middle, and a guy who didn't step up to claim the third position until about 2/3 of the season was gone. But anytime a safety (Ndukwe) is your leading tackler, that's not a good sign. Once again, our secondary is the team's Achilles' heel. File that one under Same shit, different year. I think I'd sell both my son and daughter to gypsies if, in exchange, ND was able to land a shutdown corner just once in my lifetime.
I think Minter has to go, if only because the defense is not showing signs of improvement like it should. But then again, it's not entirely on him -- the talent in the secondary just isn't there.
Honestly, if they get invited to a BCS game I think they will come out flat and get their ass kicked in the first half of the game.
I hope you're wrong about this. Certainly, if we wind up playing Florida, the opportunity to play against Meyer (who spurned ND in no small part because he thought he had a better chance to win right away at Florida) should be bulletin-board type incentive for our kids. I can deal with being out-talented (which may very well be the case, at least if Florida is our opponent), but I don't want to see us come out flat. That one has to be on the coaching staff if it happens.
Speaking of which, there were two things that frustrated ND fan prior to Weis. Weis has managed to solve, more or less, one part of the equation, in that ND now rarely loses to teams we should beat. Yes, you'll always fall victim to the occasional upset (as ND did under Weis vs. Michigan State in '05), but that is nowhere near the commonplace occurrence under Weis that it once was. The second part of the equation, however, is something that Weis has completely struck out on to date: pulling off the occasional minor miracle. A major part of ND's football lore has been built upon the foundation of ND as giant-killer, which is where ND, at least traditionally, always was at its best. Under Weis, however, we've only won once against a higher-ranked team at the time (Pitt in the '05 opener, although many people felt that Pitt was overrated and ND underrated at the beginning of '05). The last time ND beat a team that finished ranked higher than ND was Tennessee in '04.
Four of the five losses under Weis have come against teams ranked no lower than #4 in the final BCS poll. No shame in that, but if Weis wants to become a true legend as ND's coach, he's going to have to figure out a way to win at least some of those games. In that regard, the Sugar Bowl provides an excellent starting point at this juncture.