IndyFrisco wrote:Terry,
I just think most conferences have "wised up" to the fact that a CCG is a must. The Big 10 is possibly going to see that this year. Unless it is Michigan or Ohio St., they most likely won't ever get consideration for the BCS championship game unless the SEC, Big XII and U$C has a couple losses. In other words, I just don't ever seeing there be a flash in the pan BCS Championship team. You have to sustain top 5 finishes for a few years to get the high preseason rank and then keep rolling. It's not right. It's just the way it is.
I agree with the second half of your post, but I honestly don't see how a CCG fits in to that. As a practical matter, either tOSU or USC played for the national championship in four straight years from 04-07. By contrast, the ACC has never sent its champion to the BCS championship game despite having had a CCG for the last four years (admittedly, both of the ACC's traditional powers, FSU and Miami, have been in a down cycle in that time).
Not all conferences are looking to get to 12. The Big East, for example, likely would water itself down further if it tried to expand, unless they were able to pull off at least one of the following possibilities: (a) convince BC to come back; (b) nab Penn State from the Big Ten; or (c) convince ND to join the conference for football as well. None of these looks terribly promising. An argument could also be made that the Pac-10 would water down its product through expansion, although with Utah and Boise State looming as possible expansion teams, that's not quite so obvious.
As for the Big Ten, I see them being stuck at eleven for awhile. It seems to me that they want ND as their twelfth member and won't accept any substitutes. ND is not interested in the Big Ten. Or at least, the overwhelming majority of its fanbase isn't interested in the Big Ten. As alluded to in Killian's thread about Western Michigan, the Administration may be another matter. But if ND's negotiations with the ACC are any sort of guide, if ND ever does show interest in joining the Big Ten, it most likely will be a gradual, toes-in-the-water type approach.
In any event, the conference we're talking about here would be about getting an automatic BCS bid, not a bid in the BCS championship game. I don't see how limiting the conference to eight would hurt them, particularly where, as here, it cuts down on intra-conference travel and also takes out most of the weaker sisters at the same time.