smackaholic wrote:Does anyone have any stats on tournament upsets over the last 20 years or so? Are there many more 14s moving on?
Since you asked, 14 seeds who have beaten 3 seeds since the field expanded to 64 in 1985 . . .
1986
Cleveland State beat Indiana
Arkansas-Little Rock beat Notre Dame
1987
Austin Peay beat Illinois
1988
Murray State beat North Carolina State
1989
Siena beat Stanford
1990
Northern Iowa beat Missouri
1991
Xavier beat Nebraska
1992
East Tennessee State beat Arizona
1995
Weber State beat Michigan State
Old Dominion beat Villanova
1997
Tennessee-Chattanooga beat Georgia
1998
Richmond beat South Carolina
1999
Weber State beat North Carolina
2005
Bucknell beat Kansas
2006
Northwestern State beat Iowa
2010
Ohio beat Georgetown
Of the 14 seeds listed above, only Cleveland State and Tennessee-Chattanooga reached the Sweet 16. None reached the Elite 8.
Source:
http://www.databasesports.com/ncaab/tourney.htm
So if my count is correct, 3 seeds are a combined 88-16 in first-round games against 14 seeds since 1985. That's relatively lopsided, but nowhere near as lopsided as 2-15 matchups (100-4) or 1-16 matchups (104-0) over the same time period.
Seems like there should be with all the early departures by NBA prospects. I doubt there are many 14 seeds affected by lottery pics leaving after their sophomore season.
You might think so, but there actually were more 14 vs. 3 upsets awhile back than there are today. And one-and-dones were a lot less common back then.