football is a game of slim margins to begin with, so no one really understands why you're hanging your hat on "five plays from the mnc."
How many 7-5 football teams have ever been 5 plays away from unbeaten? Seriously. Heck, there's maybe a dozen 8-4 teams ever that could say that.
No 7-5 team is ever THIS close. That "slim margins" is not entirely true.
besides, what five plays are you talking about? a hail mary? two hail mary's and a pick six? a one-yard td run by wisco that wouldn't have been a td if homeboy fumbled?
5 losses. 1 play in any one of those games and we won. I'm not talking about a hail mary in any of the games. If we just would have made 1 defensive play or 1 more offensive play (not a hail mary), we win the games.
If Pryor doesn't convert a 4th and 10, we beat Ohio State.
If Wisconsin doesn't convert a fake punt OR Stanzi doesn't take a sack on our last drive OR we make 1 defensive play on their final drive OR we don't botch a PAT and a 28 yard FG (neither of which was forced).........we beat Wisconsin
If we make our PAT late in the Arizona game and just make a damn play on defense on their final drive OR drive the football against Arizona.......we win that one.
If Coker doesn't fumble on the 1st play of our final drive against Minnesota OR we don't allow a 50 yard fluke pass that Adam Weber will never again complete in his life.....we beat Minnesota.
If Stanzi does not throw that horrible interception OR we make just 1 defensive play on Northwestern's 2 late TD drives that were 85+ yards......we win that game.
I don't have a stat to back this up and I'm not going to spend the time researching it, but I would guess there has NEVER been a 7-5 (or 7-4, or 6-5) football team that's come this close.
M Club,
Here is some numbers for you.......
-Iowa had a LEAD with under 3 minutes to play in EVERY game this year except for Arizona (because we missed the PAT to take the lead).
-Iowa has not lost a single game by MORE than 7 points since 2007 (Western Michigan......god damn that's embarrassing!)
-Iowa has won 5 games in the last 3 years against teams that FINISHED the season in the Top 15- 3 of those were road games.
-Iowa has lost 11 games since the start of 2008........by a COMBINED 40 points.
-Iowa has not trailed by more than 10 points at ANY point in time during a game since the 1st quarter of the Pittsburgh game the 3rd week of the 2008 season.
Iowa has been tied or had a lead with less than 3 minutes to play at some point in EVERY game except 1 (Northwestern 2009, but we did have a 10-0 lead in the 1st half before Stanzi went down) over our last 30 games (Michigan State 2008 is the last time and we lost that 16-13 after Shonn Greene was stuffed on a 4th and 1 at the MSU 21 yard line late).
Forget the records.........how many teams in the country do you think can say they have at least been tied or had a lead at some point with less than 3 minutes in 29 of their last 30 games? 1? 2? Nobody but Iowa? Yes, I realize the win is all that really matters, but I'm just showing you how damn close this team is and that they're better than their record.
Find me some comparable 7-5.....or even 8-4.......teams.
Normally, I would agree that a 7-5 team isn't any good. But this is different, and you cannot dispute that. No 7-5 team has been THIS close. It just doesn't happen. With under 5 minutes to play in every single game this year........Iowa should have won (with the exception of possibly Arizona). But the bounces just didn't go our way and we made a few mistakes.
This team has PROVEN, despite the record, they can play with and beat just about any team in the country. That's not my homer Hawkeye bias there. I can back that up with actual on the field results.
You find me another 7-5 football team that had to choke to beat 2 Top 10 teams AND beat another Top 10 team by 31 points. This is my point. 7-5 football teams can't normally stake their claim to being a coinflip (or better) against Top 10 teams.......but would you argue Iowa wouldn't be a coinflip against every Top 10 team besides Auburn and Oregon? I don't see how you could. Honestly, I truly believe Iowa could manhandle any of those teams (excluding Auburn/Oregon) on any given day. I have absolutely no doubt about it. This is why I am pissed off about this year because this team really was capable of more than they accomplished. 2005, we went 7-5..........that team would have lost 56-0 to this team. They were so far away from contention it's not even funny. Not this year. We get a couple lucky bounces (like most teams that win a lot of games do) or make 1 more god damn play down the stretch..........and this is an 11-1 or 12-0 team. That's no joke. It's the truth.
7-5 football teams are generally 7-5 teams because they're not good enough to win eight games.
Exactly. Couldn't agree more. There's always the exception to the rule, no?