Papa Willie wrote:
Besides - that's just a typical fall/winter program for you guys.
Not at all -- it rarely rains hard here, it just rains very frequently, starting in late fall, usually. But around this time, we get the "seasonal shift" thing going on, and the pineapple express/Pacific fire hose thing takes direct aim. This one is actually Typhoon Songa broken up and headed east.
Looks like our friends the Calis to the south might get a bunch to fill up their lakes/reservoirs, which will get them off to a nice early start on water.
... A PAIR OF POTENTIALLY DAMAGING STORM SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN WASHINGTON THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TODAY ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON IN ADVANCE OF A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION. STEADY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO PERSIST TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD JUST OFF THE COAST. BY FRIDAY MORNING... HEFTY RAINFALL TOTALS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE INTERIOR LOWLANDS... 2 TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE COAST AND CASCADE MOUNTAINS... AND 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE SOUTH FACING SLOPES OF THE OLYMPIC MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL CAUSE RISES IN ALL RIVER BASINS... WITH SOME RIVERS EXPECTED TO FLOOD. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH AND BULLETINS FOR THE MOST UPDATED AND DETAILED INFORMATION.
THE FIRST BIG SURGE IN SOUTHERLY WIND WILL HAPPEN ON THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON... THEN SPREADING INLAND THIS EVENING. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE LOW CENTER LIFTS NORTHWARD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS NEAR THE COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST HIGH WIND WARNING STATEMENT FOR DETAILS ON TIMING AND WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED FOR DIFFERENT PORTIONS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON.
FRIDAY WILL BE RAINY AND WINDY... BUT IT WILL SERVE AS A RELATIVE LULL BEFORE A MORE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING STORM ON SATURDAY.
THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING STORM TO AFFECT WESTERN WASHINGTON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT AN UNUSUALLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE CENTER... WITH ITS ORIGINS TRACED BACK TO TYPHOON SONGDA IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC... WILL PEAK IN STRENGTH SATURDAY NIGHT AS IT APPROACHES THE WASHINGTON COAST. STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE LOW MAKES LANDFALL SOMEWHERE FROM THE CENTRAL WASHINGTON COAST TO THE CENTRAL COAST OF VANCOUVER ISLAND LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW WILL MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE IN HOW BADLY THIS STORM IMPACTS WESTERN WASHINGTON. THERE IS A 1 IN 3 CHANCE OF THE LOW CENTER DIRECTLY CROSSING SOME PART OF THE CENTRAL OR NORTH COAST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON. THIS WOULD BE A WORST CASE SCENARIO LEADING TO A HISTORICAL WINDSTORM FOR NEARLY ALL OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THAT WOULD BE LONG REMEMBERED.
THERE IS A 2 IN 3 CHANCE THAT THE LOW CENTER WILL PASS FURTHER OFFSHORE... MAKING LANDFALL ON VANCOUVER ISLAND. THIS OUTCOME WOULD CONFINE THE MOST DAMAGING WINDS TO THE COAST AND TO THE NORTH INTERIOR (AREAS NORTH OF EVERETT). INLAND LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE PUGET SOUND REGION AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR OF SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON WOULD EXPERIENCE THE TYPE OF WINDSTORM THAT WOULD NORMALLY BE EXPECTED A COUPLE TIMES EACH STORM SEASON. POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE OVER INLAND LOCATIONS WOULD BE LESS WIDESPREAD IN THE SCENARIO.
CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT VERY LARGE SWELL GENERATED BY THE SECOND STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE COAST WITH LARGE WAVES OVER THE WEEKEND. SEAS COULD BUILD TO 30 TO 35 FEET OVER THE WASHINGTON COASTAL WATERS... WITH LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES IMPACTING THE COAST. BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AND WILL BE PARTICULARLY THREATENING TO THE SUSCEPTIBLE OCEAN SHORES PENINSULA. PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID THE BEACH AS LARGE DEBRIS WILL BE TOSSED ONTO THE BEACH.
CHECK BACK REGULARLY FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS. MAKE PREPARATIONS NOW FOR POWER OUTAGES... TREE DAMAGE... AND OTHER IMPACTS. THE WEEKEND SYSTEM HAS THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGE... BUT IT ALSO HAS THE GREATEST RANGE OF POSSIBLE OUTCOMES.
“Left Seater” wrote:So charges are around the corner?
Papa Willie wrote: I wouldn't live in your state for 7 figures a year.
Bull fucking shit.
kcdave wrote: ↑Sat Sep 09, 2023 8:05 am
I was actually going to to join in the best bets activity here at good ole T1B...The guy that runs that contest is a fucking prick
Derron wrote: ↑Sat Oct 03, 2020 3:07 pm
You are truly one of the worst pieces of shit to ever post on this board. Start giving up your paycheck for reparations now and then you can shut the fuck up about your racist blasts.
Papa Willie wrote:
Besides - that's just a typical fall/winter program for you guys.
Not at all -- it rarely rains hard here, it just rains very frequently, starting in late fall, usually. But around this time, we get the "seasonal shift" thing going on, and the pineapple express/Pacific fire hose thing takes direct aim. This one is actually Typhoon Songa broken up and headed east.
Looks like our friends the Calis to the south might get a bunch to fill up their lakes/reservoirs, which will get them off to a nice early start on water.
I think there's a very slight chance that the low could head in farther south than the current tracking... very slight. Too bad, I was hoping SoCal would get some, since they need it. Looks like the upper Sacramento Valley should get plenty.
Yeah my brother lives in El Dorado Hills (outside Sacramento).They're barrening down the hatches.
Not nearly cold enough yet for any mountain snow, though. Too bad.
