Screw_Michigan wrote: ↑Mon Apr 06, 2020 12:37 pm
Derron wrote: ↑Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:31 am
that there is no road map or game book for this,
There is, and there was. The Trump Organized Crime family simply chose to ignore it, to defund all pandemic preparation efforts, and instead pretend it would just go away.
You got any links to back that up ??
You ever done any emergency response modeling ?? I have as recently as a couple years ago. When I lived on the other side of the state the rapid growth was quickly taxing all fire / ems responses, with departments not able to respond to a scenario of multiple calls at the same time. The modeling we did was on a much smaller and local scale, but still the outcomes were adversely impacted.
We would start our model with a 2 alarm house fire spreading to multiple adjacent structures. This required the home departments entire resources, plus mutual aid from 3 adjoining departments. This effectively stripped a large area of the county of fire services, and compromised medical response as well. During that scenario we added in the average number of medical calls to replicate and complicate the real time situation.
Then to test things out and personnel thinking skills and to get some kind of idea of how fucked up shit could really get really fast , we had a hat and each one of us had added a large scale mass casualty incident that would require a large number of assets both human and hard. Mine was drawn and at the same time as the above fire, still uncontrolled we added a tour bus with 66 people on board going over an embankment half way between our district and the coast, a distance of 20 miles in the middle of winter. There were going to be at least 8 people critical, 3 black or DOA, 25 serious injuries, and some walking wounded. This was going to require over 15 additional units, with at least 50 more people, high angle rescue, heavy extrication, critical care needs, and heavy law enforcement response. This could have been an aircraft incident, haz mat response or any number of scenarios.
We went ahead with the model to see just how far way the additional resources would come from, how long it would take, and all the logistical concerns involved. The end result was, that no matter how much we planned and tried to come up with reasonable pathways to some kind of response, that there are situations you simply cannot model for and you will be stuck trying to pull shit out of your ass with no plans to guide you.
When you can accurately define, quantify, and react to what is thrown at you, you stand a better chance of having a qualified response. But that is not the case there and was not the case with the covid response. While there were obviously plans to work from despite your parrot squawking about there not being any, which with you is per usual, they simply cannot factor in the wild cards every thing that you are going to be dealt.