T1B

1. tOSU all they need to do is take care of business and they are in.
2. Michigan same as tOSU
3. WVU Again take care of business and hope that the loser between tOSU and UM drops enough to move them up to #1
4. Texas - They need everything WVU needs and for WVU to lose one game. A bigger problem is being passed by a 1 loss SEC champ.
5. Louisville needs to blow out WVU and hope that Texas the SEC winner and USC all lose atlease 2 games. It would probably help a lot if one of Michigan or tOSU lost a game before their matchup.
6. Florida - They need to finish strong and they have a good shot at passing everone above them to make it into the game. They finish off with a very tough schedule.
7. Auburn - If they win the SEC I doubt it will be enough to pass an undefeated WVU or a one loss Michigan/tOSU team.
8. USC - finish the seaso with one loss. They need the SEC winner to be Arkansas or a team with 2 losses. A loss from Texas, WVU and probably a 2nd loss from one of either Michigan or tOSU.

Amazingly enough Michigan/tOSU might get a repeat simply because they are both pulling away from the #3 team and a loss might not be enough to knock the loser from the #2 spot.

Important games that will decide who plays in the BCS championship game.

1. tOSU v Michigan - could be the first round of the BCS championship game.

2. USC - Notre Dame - loser is out of the running

3. SEC championship game - if the winner of this game is a one loss Florida Auburn, or Tennessee team I find it hard to believe that they will not leap frog over the other teams above them.

4. WVU v Louisville - the winner not only has to win but they must earn style points to prove they deserve a shot

5. USC v Kal - Winner is the Pac 10 champ and has the inside track to a 1 loss season

6. Texas v a$m - This is only a big game if the aggies come in with one loss. If that happens and Texas beats them then it might give Texas enough computer quality win points to overtake a undefeated wvu and the loser between tOSU and Michigan.

7. Big 12 title game - gives the big 12 rep another quality opponent and has proven to be a slip up game for the favored team.

8. Tennessee v Arkansas - loser will be eliminated from BCS championship contention.

9. Florida v FSU - game is meaningless to FSU but could be a trap game for Florida

10. BC v Miami - Boston college is the only ACC team woth mentioning because they are the only 1 loss team left.

I think Texas in the championship game is just a pipe dream. After seeing their lackluster platy the last 3 weeks a BCS game would be a thrill. They have managed to pull out a few tough wins, but I really don't think they have a chance for all the marbles again. Would be nice, but I don't see it happening. I really thonk Okie State is gonna pull the upset this weekend.

Reality is I think WVU is the team that will face tOSU/UM winner.

And I completely agree that Texas doesn't deserve to be in the game from their play over the last couple of weeks. Actually it is the DBs that are the weak link right now.

I must say I'm not sure which is the bigger dissappointment to me, our running game or our pass defense.

BTW if you think our pass defense is bad right now just wait til we lose Brown, Mike Griff and Aaron Ross. IOW we are going to get lit up like a Christmas tree next season.

What? No mention of Rutgers?

When Rutgers beats both Louisville and WVU I will devote a whole thread to their greatness. Til then I see no reason to include those who have no chance.

Vito Corleone wrote:When Rutgers beats both Louisville and WVU I will devote a whole thread to their greatness. Til then I see no reason to include those who have no chance.

RACK!

Rutgers is good, but they barely got by UConn the other night at home and they were fortunate to beat us by 2.

tOSU v WVa

MuchoBulls wrote:

Vito Corleone wrote:When Rutgers beats both Louisville and WVU I will devote a whole thread to their greatness. Til then I see no reason to include those who have no chance.

RACK!

Rutgers is good, but they barely got by UConn the other night at home and they were fortunate to beat us by 2.

i wish a team averaging -52 wins/season could enjoy their tiny bit of success it w/o being ripped into by a bunch of haters. granted, lucky to get past s.florida and uconn, but then again they're effing rutgers. no one's mistaking them for an mnc-caliber team, and i can't believe you have to RACK! a person for going down on them.

Texas has to pray that Rutgers/Louisville/WV knock each-other off. Which could happen. Though there will probably be several teams with at-least-as-good claims to a chance at the title. Texas can't scabdick anymore wins. They have to flat-out dominate the rest of the season.

M Club wrote:i wish a team averaging -52 wins/season could enjoy their tiny bit of success it w/o being ripped into by a bunch of haters. granted, lucky to get past s.florida and uconn, but then again they're effing rutgers. no one's mistaking them for an mnc-caliber team, and i can't believe you have to RACK! a person for going down on them.

I'm not ripping them. They are a good team and they deserve the accolades they are getting. I think they have a shot at beating Louisville on 11/9 since they play at Rutgers. Schiano has done great things there. This would be the perfect time for him to capitalize on a better job because he is losing so much of this team to graduation after this season.

This thread is about who is going to play for the MNC not who is or isn't having a great year. I think the world of what is happening to Rutgers just like I do for University of Houston (sup Shaz). But even if they were undefeated I wouldn't be talking about them in this thread. Like I said, they will enter the talk in this thread if/when they beat WVU and Louisville. Til then I give them their due for having a hell of a season.

Texas is in a tough position since the Big XII sucks so much.

and THIS Texas team, while very good and all props due to Colt McCoy, i don't know if they win the South or conference in any of the last 5 years? to be fair.

with being banged up on D and playing close games the last two weeks and pulling it out. i say that as a positive.

I think UT is a legit top 10 team this year.

King Crimson wrote:Texas is in a tough position since the Big XII sucks so much.

and THIS Texas team, while very good and all props due to Colt McCoy, i don't know if they win the South or conference in any of the last 5 years? to be fair.

with being banged up on D and playing close games the last two weeks and pulling it out. i say that as a positive.

I think UT is a legit top 10 team this year.

That is a good take. Texas has shown the flair for the dramatic if nothing more this season. They have a ton of talent. Colt has done more than I ever thought he would. I really thought that Jevan would be starting by now.

What we are lacking is that nasty presence on defense. Michael Griffin is a good player and will do well in the pros, but he isn't Mike Huff. Where is a Derrick Johnson type LB? While I think that Tim Crowder is a hell of a DE, we are lacking that major play maker that we have ahd over the last 5 years. This team would not have beat any of the Texas of the last 5 years. I do think that they would have beaten OU last year but not any of the previous 4.

See I don't think Texas is lacking anything on defense talent wise, I see their biggest problem is focus. They still have not put together a full game. Case in point Baylor and Tech, neither team should have had the success passing like they had, but if you look at when they had their success for Tech it happened mostly in the first half, in the 2nd half they didn't get squat. For Baylor their success happened in the first quarter and garbage time.

Texas has 3 DBs that will be drafted to the NFL, Ross is one of the top candidates for the Thorpe award, so the talent is there. What is not is that killer instinct.

One of the biggest surprises to me is the lack of a running game for Texas this year. It was a huge blow losing Dockery because it forced Texas to move some guiys around but still these guys were killing people earlier in the year including Ohio State. This problem has been going on since the Rice game and it shouldn't, not with the line, backs, and passing game they have.

I don't see anyone challenging Texas until the Big 12 title game but I do see any and every game as a trap game until these guys figure out that anyone can beat them if they don't come into every game with the right attitude.