ALCS/NLCS: Call it!
Posted: Wed Oct 10, 2007 3:29 am
ALCS: Red Sox vs. Indians
Francona made a move today in slating Schilling as the Game 2 instead against Carmona instead of Dice-K. The Game 1 and 2 pitching matchups are about as good as it gets when you consider you have 3 AL Cy Young candidates and both starters for the Red Sox are great postseason performers. The Red Sox won the season series against the Indians this year but when you consider the Yankees won all 6 games against the Tribe this year, you can pretty much ignore that stat. Schilling and Beckett combine for a 2-1 record and an ERA slightly over 1.00 against the Indians this year while Carmona threw 8 innings of shutout ball in a win against the Sox and Sabathia gave up only one earned run in 7 innings in a 1-0 loss to Boston back in late July. The big two on both teams have had success against the opposition this year and I expect a pair pitchers' duels in Game 1 and 2 in Boston to start the series. If I had to choose which team has the advantage in those matchups, I'd give the edge to the Sox because of the October experience. I loved that stat from the ALDS for the Indians...they hit .444 with 13 RBI when they had runners in scoring position with 2 outs. The Red Sox pitchers need to avoid giving up any cheap baserunners with 2 outs because these first two games will be low scoring and the fact the Indians were so prolific at driving in runs with 2 outs. This should be a classic series but I give the slightest edge to the Sox because of the big game pitching experience plus I think they have the big edge in the Game 3 matchup with Dice-K against Westbrook.
Red Sox in 6
NLCS: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
Webb was 1-3 with a 5.77 ERA in 6 regular season starts against Colorado and he's 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA at home. Going into this series, I favor the pitching of the Diamondbacks but Webb has struggled against the Rockies this year for the most part. In the regular season, Helton, Holliday and Hawpe all hit over .350 against the Diamondbacks. Hawpe's 3 home runs and 18 RBI were the most by any Rockie against Diamondback pitching...in fact, no player this year had more RBI against the Diamondbacks than Hawpe. He was quiet in the series against the Phillies but I'm sure he'll come to life against a team he's had great success against this year. I also think the emergence of Matsui at the top of the order is another bullet in the chamber for the Rockies already loaded arsenal. The Rockies are just looking that team this year that is playing their best baseball at the right time and seem destined for the World Series.
Rockies in 5
Francona made a move today in slating Schilling as the Game 2 instead against Carmona instead of Dice-K. The Game 1 and 2 pitching matchups are about as good as it gets when you consider you have 3 AL Cy Young candidates and both starters for the Red Sox are great postseason performers. The Red Sox won the season series against the Indians this year but when you consider the Yankees won all 6 games against the Tribe this year, you can pretty much ignore that stat. Schilling and Beckett combine for a 2-1 record and an ERA slightly over 1.00 against the Indians this year while Carmona threw 8 innings of shutout ball in a win against the Sox and Sabathia gave up only one earned run in 7 innings in a 1-0 loss to Boston back in late July. The big two on both teams have had success against the opposition this year and I expect a pair pitchers' duels in Game 1 and 2 in Boston to start the series. If I had to choose which team has the advantage in those matchups, I'd give the edge to the Sox because of the October experience. I loved that stat from the ALDS for the Indians...they hit .444 with 13 RBI when they had runners in scoring position with 2 outs. The Red Sox pitchers need to avoid giving up any cheap baserunners with 2 outs because these first two games will be low scoring and the fact the Indians were so prolific at driving in runs with 2 outs. This should be a classic series but I give the slightest edge to the Sox because of the big game pitching experience plus I think they have the big edge in the Game 3 matchup with Dice-K against Westbrook.
Red Sox in 6
NLCS: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies
Webb was 1-3 with a 5.77 ERA in 6 regular season starts against Colorado and he's 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA at home. Going into this series, I favor the pitching of the Diamondbacks but Webb has struggled against the Rockies this year for the most part. In the regular season, Helton, Holliday and Hawpe all hit over .350 against the Diamondbacks. Hawpe's 3 home runs and 18 RBI were the most by any Rockie against Diamondback pitching...in fact, no player this year had more RBI against the Diamondbacks than Hawpe. He was quiet in the series against the Phillies but I'm sure he'll come to life against a team he's had great success against this year. I also think the emergence of Matsui at the top of the order is another bullet in the chamber for the Rockies already loaded arsenal. The Rockies are just looking that team this year that is playing their best baseball at the right time and seem destined for the World Series.
Rockies in 5