MgoBlue-LightSpecial wrote:Last 10 losses by a combined 37 points. 4 losses this year by 15 combined points.
Not sure I understand your issue. You're GOING to lose some games, yes? Would you rather they be of the blowout variety?
You don't think that essentially being 6-30 over a 12 year period in 7 point or less games (excluding the complete fluke wins and games we only won because we hung on after trying real hard to choke away) isn't an issue??
The reason I bring up the last 10 losses is because it has occured over the last 3 seasons. 10 losses by 37 points in that short of period indicates an issue in terms of late game management/playcalling.
We are probably the first team to have 10 losses over a 3 year period but quite literally be 10 plays away from being unbeaten in that time period. Not one single one of those games was this team not a play away. While you could argue that's pretty damn impressive for ANY team to be able to say they've not had a single game in 3 years where they were more than a play away from winning, but I would argue it just goes to PROVE what a poor job our coaching staff has done in crucial game management situations.
Let's go through the list of our 10 losses since the start of 2008-
2008- at Pittsburgh. 20-21
1st quarter we were down 14-0 with Jake Christensen as a starter. He was playing terrible. Stanzi comes in and saves the day in the 2nd quarter. Offense was moving well, and were only down 14-10 at half. For some dumb reason, Ferentz puts Jake back in at QB for the ENTIRE 2nd half. Offense can't move the ball, but the defense does step up. One final possession with a few minutes to go. Just needed a FG. Jake couldn't come through.
2008- vs Northwestern. 17-22
Iowa was -4 in the turnover battle but still had 1st and goal from the 8 yard line with about 2 minutes to play and a chance to win. 4 passes, 4 incompletions. Game over. Shonn Greene got no touches inside the 10. Yes, THAT Shonn Greene- the dude that won the Doak Walker award that year.
2008- at Michigan State. 13-16
Got down a couple of scores early but then pretty much took over the game. Had 4th and 1 at the MSU 20 with a couple minutes to go. 50/50 on whether you should kick the FG or go for it. Ferentz elected to go for it and the FB did not block for Greene, so he was stuffed in the backfield. Ballgame.
2008- at Illinois. 24-27
Down 2 touchdowns in the 4th quarter. Offense makes a comeback and ties it with less than 2 minutes to play. Defense melts down and gives up a couple big plays, allowing Illinois to kick a game winning FG as time expired.
2009- vs Northwestern. 10-17
Got no real gripes in this one. Stanzi got injured late in the 1st half on a fluke play that gave Northwestern 1 of its 2 TD's. Vandenberg comes in with absolutely no experience and just can't move the ball. That said, we did have the ball with almost 3 minutes left to play and.....again, just couldn't drive it for a score.
2009- at Ohio State. 24-27
Rose Bowl berth on the line. Game tied in regulation with a minute to play and 2 TO's- ball just beyond the 30. Ferentz elects to just play for OT. Hawks can't do anything on their possession and then tOSU kicks a Rose Bowl clinching FG.
2010- at Arizona. 27-34
Complete and utter 1st half meltdown by Iowa, allowing Arizona to go up 27-7 at half. Fluke rally by Iowa in the 2nd half as AZ returned the favor. Binns intercepts a pass with a few minutes to go and runs it in for a TD. Mossbrucker misses the go-ahead extra point because nobody blocked anyone. Arizona then throws a 40 yard pass on the first play, and then ends up scoring at will a few plays later. Iowa had the ball with just under 2 minutes to play, but Stanzi is sacked 4 plays in a row. Yes, I said that right......4 plays in a row. FAIL.
2010- vs Wisconsin. 30-31
Up 30-24 with a few minutes to go. Wisconsin executes an obvious fake punt that everyone in the world besides the Iowa staff and players knew was coming. Wisconsin caps off an 80 yard drive a few plays later. Iowa gets the ball with plenty of time just needing a FG, but a wasted timeout used on a play that should have been spiked along with the ONLY sack of the game Wisconsin had end our chances.
2010- at Northwestern. 17-21
Up by 10 with 7 minutes to play. Northwestern drives the ball for touchdowns on consecutive 80+ yard drives with absolutely no resistance from the defense. Again, we have just under 2 minutes and a couple of timeouts but can't do much with the ball. End up having the throw a failed hail mary at the end.
2010- vs Ohio State. 17-20
Again, similar situation. Up 17-13 with a few minutes to go. Ohio State needs to drive it 60 yards. They convert a 4th and 10 play with 4 minutes left because NOBODY was fucking spying Terrelle Pryor. 1st and goal for tOSU a few plays later at the 2 with the clock running under 2:30 and Ferentz does not elect to use 1 of his 3 timeouts. Aparently, he is not of the belief that 2:20 and 2 timeouts > 1:45 and 3 timeouts. About all you can do is laugh hysterically at that. I mean, this should be obvious to anyone what you do in this spot, but I guess Ferentz knows more than EVERYONE that has ever watched, played or coached football. Just ask Mace. Anyways, again, we get the ball back with 1:45 to play and 2 timeouts needing only a FG to tie it. We go 4 and looked, yet again, completely lost in the 2 minute drill. It should also be noted that Marcus Coker had 7 1st quarter carries for 43 yards and only got 2 carries (27 yards) the rest of the game. "he can't pass protect" is the excuse I hear. Bla bla bla.......the only time we moved the ball in the game was when he was in their at RB and not Robinson, so that excuse is a load of crap.
Compare this to our close wins over that period....
2008- vs Penn State. 24-23. Great clutch win. Game winning drive. Yeah, we had some breaks along the way, but Stanzi led a brilliant drive to win the game.
2008- vs Purdue. 22-17. Misleading. Game was over by the start of the 4th. Purdue got a late TD to make it closer than it really was. We did, however, try our best to choke it away. Went 3 and out and then let Purdue get into a position where they could throw a 60 yard hail mary. This was not a clutch win. It was a "whew, we hung on" kinda victory.
2009- vs UNI. 17-16. Simply pitiful game all around. We barely held on thanks to a couple of blocked FG's at the end. Lucky as hell to win this one against a 1-AA squad. Again, poor coaching late by our staff allowed UNI to get into a position to kick the potential game winner. 2:30 to go we had the ball at around midfield and we ran up to the line and snapped it with 20 seconds left on the playclock. Why would you do that? I can't think of one good reason to do that. It's just plain dumb. Then, we punt and they have 1:30 or so to go and the ball at around their own 10 yard line. Going to the prevent defense was absolutely STUPID. If they need a touchdown, yes, prevent is okay. But just needing a FG, you should stick with your base defense given the situation. We just gave them 60 free yards and that makes no sense at all given the time and score. UNI could not beat us deep. They knew it, I knew it, the whole world knew it. They needed to get 10-15 yard chunks to be able to get into FG range. Playing base defense allows them to get more like 6-7 yard chunks, which would have been tough to get into FG range given their starting point and time. But what do I know......Mace is the one that knows everything.
2009- vs Arkansas State. 24-21. Another inferior opponent we just laid an egg against. Got out to a 14-0 lead about 8 minutes in and just coasted the rest of the way. We were NEVER in jeopordy of losing at any point in time. Arkansas State did not once have the ball in the 4th quarter with the game a 1 possession game. They scored a TD with about a minute or so to go and then needed an onside kick to give themselves a chance. They did not recover the kick. This was not a clutch win, it was an attempted meltdown.
2009- vs Michigan. 30-28. Another game where we had a 2 score lead with a few minutes to play, but tried our best to choke it away. Michigan drives down the field with Robinson in at QB to cut it to 30-28. Then, our conservative offense comes back on the field to do what they ALWAYS do in these spots- go 3 and out real quick. Michigan gets the ball back with under 2 minutes left, needing about 60 yards or so to give their FG kicker a shot, but Robinson ends up throwing a pick. This was not a clutch win. This was another attempted chokejob that we just held on to.
2009- at Michigan State. 15-13. Kicked a go-ahead FG with a few minutes left and then the defense gave up an EASY touchdown pass to give MSU a 13-9 lead with less than 2 minutes to play. Stanzi orchestrates a brilliant drive. This was a clutch win for the offense, and a clutch chokejob by the defense. MSU had a 3rd and 18 (?) on their final drive. It looked like it was over, and then they ran a hook and ladder (great playcall, by the way).
I will throw in a couple of other games in Ferentz' defense....
2009- vs Indiana. 42-24. We were down by 10 entering the 4th before the offense went nuts like I have never seen before. That said, this game was over with about 6-7 minutes left.
2009- Orange Bowl vs Georgia Tech. Game clinching drive. I don't know if I would classify this as a clutch win, but we did ice the game with a couple minutes to play. That said, it should have been over in the 3rd quarter but our conservative nature, as always, did not allow for that to happen.
And there were a couple of other 2nd half comebacks (ie Wisconsin, Penn State) last year as well. But no games where we actually won them late.
In 2010, we either blew out an opponent or lost. It's that simple. So you be the judge. The true "clutch" record over the past 3 years is essentially 2-10. A .500 record is average. So 2-10 is not bad, it is attrocious.