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Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Sun Oct 20, 2013 5:37 pm
by Dinsdale
2?

I managed... 2.

Next week I'll reverse my picks... and get 1.

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Sun Oct 20, 2013 5:57 pm
by Carson
I couldn't ask for a better weekend. 8)

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Mon Oct 21, 2013 3:29 pm
by Truman
I'm about done with Wyoming. Faggots. And I'm still wondering what I was thinking when I picked Iowa State to cover +38.5, ignoring the Baylor-Is-A-Mortal-Lock-At-Home theory...

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Mon Oct 21, 2013 7:18 pm
by Left Seater
The season results show two things, 1) just how hard it is to even break even when betting real money, 2) how many people lie about their success when betting or coming home from Vegas.

Bases on standard vig of $10 per $100, only 14 people of the 35 would even break even. 9 of the 35 would be making a tiny profit and 5 might have enough winnings to buy dinner at a nice restaurant.

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Mon Oct 21, 2013 9:50 pm
by WolverineSteve
Left Seater wrote:The season results show two things, 1) just how hard it is to even break even when betting real money, 2) how many people lie about their success when betting or coming home from Vegas.

Bases on standard vig of $10 per $100, only 14 people of the 35 would even break even. 9 of the 35 would be making a tiny profit and 5 might have enough winnings to buy dinner at a nice restaurant.
A real gambler wouldn't play ten games....a degenerate gambler might, but a guy who plays to make money would expose a game or two and make his money.

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 12:00 am
by MgoBlue-LightSpecial
Not only that, but serious bettors have the luxury of shopping dozens of outlets with varying fluctuating spreads. We're at the mercy of a singular, stagnant set of lines. One reason serious gamblers are good at what they do is because they're experts at monitoring the movement of lines and pouncing when the time is right.

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2013 2:58 am
by The Seer
Just picking the winner and not worrying about the spreads wouldn't be a slam dunk either.

Re: 2013 CFB Pickem - Week 8 Scores

Posted: Wed Oct 23, 2013 3:24 am
by MgoBlue-LightSpecial
88 wrote:That ^^^^ is the bullshit thinking that makes Vegas glitter with other people's gold. No one wins at sports gambling.
Well, duh. Vegas makes their money off the 99% of idiots out there. But there is a small percentage of professional sports bettors who make money doing what they do. I'm talking about those people.

And just to be perfectly clear, I generally agree with your takes on sports betting. I would not, under any circumstance, encourage anyone to bet on sports for any reason other than entertainment purposes. If you are trying to supplement your income, you're doing it wrong.