Re: Glowball Warming takes another hit...
Posted: Sat Jul 25, 2015 8:54 pm
How does this disprove (or prove) global warming?
I think you need another hit. I know I so.
I think you need another hit. I know I so.
88, I think you're confusing global warming with climate change-contrary to popular (and undeucated) belief, they are not one in the same.....88 wrote:Funny (not really). Ironic, might be more appropriate considering an opinion poll is the main argument trotted out by those who believe in AGW. They like to say that 97% of scientists [who receive government funding to write articles supporting the theory of AGW] are of the opinion that AGW is real. Or something like that.
I'm not sure where these numbers come from, so if you could link me up to their source, I'd be really thankful.....but why is it that those who don't believe man is a main driver of anthropomorphic climate change trot out those "9,571 scientists that disagree that man is responsible, when it's been proven that less than 10% of them deal in scientific study that is related to climate study in any manner.....physicists are not climate scientists, chemical engineering professors are not climate scientists.....insofar as the "10,180 weren't qualified to comment on the issue" maybe they were asked to review the study to see if proper methodologies were used, were there any conclusions that were not supported by the data. etc. As a scientist, you don't need to be an expert at climatological science to understand whether proper methods of analysis have been utilized in the research.....that's not the case in the "9,000 plus" scientists that unequivocally state that man is not responsible for climate change....by and large the vast majority of them have absolutely no experience in climatological science, yet they offer their uneducated opinion and we're supposed to accept it because they're scientists......Papa Willie wrote: What you are referring to is the University of Illinois survey in 2009 that found that 97.4% of agree that mankind is responsible for global warming. This is easily debunked when one considers its selection methodology. The University of Illinois study originally included 10,257 respondents. Of that group, the researchers (Peter Doran and Maggie Kendall Zimmerman) concluded 10,180 “weren't qualified to comment on the issue because they were merely solar scientists, space scientists, cosmologists, physicists, meteorologists, astronomers and the like". Of the remaining 77 scientists whose votes were counted, 75 agreed with the proposition that mankind was causing catastrophic changes in the climate. And, since 75 is 97.4% of 77, ‘overwhelming consensus’ was demonstrated. In reality, the 75 respondents that agreed with AGW is actually only 0.73% of the original sample group.
Furthermore, in 2013 John Cook et al examined 11,944 articles from peer reviewed literature dated 1991-2011. They found that 66.4% (or 7931 of them) expressed no view whatsoever on AGW/ACC. Of the remaining 4013 articles, 97% (or 3893 of them) agreed with AGW/ACC. This again "demonstrates" a 97% consensus in their eyes. However, fundamental math would tell you the actual percentage of peer reviewed literature from this time frame endorsing AGW/ACC is actually only 32.6%. The actual numbers in both these surveys have been ignored by AGW/ACC proponents in favor of being able to cite the "97% Consensus" argument.
Maybe none of that actually happened because:Wolfman wrote:It's all such bullshit. I remember back in the late 1960's when "scientists" were predicting that by 1985 there would be mass starvation due to food shortages and some even said the air would be so polluted that we'd need gas masks and have to live underground to escape it.
NOT cool, bro. Please move to the Tasteless Joke thread.BSmack wrote:Makes you want to listen to Stevie Ray Vaughan.
MgoBlue-LightSpecial wrote:NOT cool, bro. Please move to the Tasteless Joke thread.BSmack wrote:Makes you want to listen to Stevie Ray Vaughan.
which scientists were these? Scientists don't typically make predictions of consequences, they typically predict what they believe what will happen based on extrapolated information, but it's usually uneducated scream merchants that make dire predictions.... people will often times offer predictions because scientists predict a drought in an area (like Ethiopia) then the non-scientists will start predicting death, destruction, mayhem etc......non-scientists are great with stuff like that....Wolfman wrote:It's all such bullshit. I remember back in the late 1960's when "scientists" were predicting that by 1985 there would be mass starvation due to food shortages and some even said the air would be so polluted that we'd need gas masks and have to live underground to escape it. Of course climate changes. Has in the past and will in the future. You see, we have this big ball of hydrogen 93 million miles away that is a big thermonuclear fusion machine. It has cycles of high and low activity, hence affecting our climate. We also have on earth these things called volcanoes that can belch up more pollutants than all of human activity. People are so gullible.
like I said, most of the doom and gloom predictions are predicated by non-scientists.....and seriously, can't you come up with something a little less slanted than "Watts Up With That".....that particular dishrag is Dins favorite source of "information" (rather than reading scientific papers)Papa Willie wrote:https://www.google.com/search?q=failed+ ... 8&oe=utf-8
Millions of failed predictions. They do know, however, that sheep will never review the past, so...
Actually, you don't need to be a scientist to know when a so called expert says it is ok to lie and manipulate data that anything they say is bullshit.Felix wrote:As a scientist, you don't need to be an expert at climatological science to understand whether proper methods of analysis have been utilized in the research...
I blame Mr. Spock.BSmack wrote:I remember seeing specials on "In Search Of" about a new ice age in the 70s. I think it was after the UFO and Bigfoot sightings.
Why do you keep pimping shity, dirty, polluting crap. It's like you are delusional.88 wrote:Maybe we ought to ask the scientists the right questions. Like what amount of uncertainty is in their projections, how we can accurately measure their projections (both in terms of what will happen if we do nothing and if we implement their flavor of action of the month) and hold them accountable for spewing bullshit. Is that too extreme a position?MgoBlue-LightSpecial wrote:So the 3% of scientists are the ones we should be listening to because they aren't on the take?
Sounds legit.
Consensus is a political construct with absolutely no scientific relevance whatsoever. 99 scientists are not more likely to be correct than 1 scientist. At one point in time, the overwhelming consensus opinion of astronomers was that the sun revolved around the earth. A couple guys disagreed. Guess what?MgoBlue-LightSpecial wrote:So the 3% of scientists are the ones we should be listening to because they aren't on the take?
Sounds legit.
mvscal wrote:At one point in time, the overwhelming consensus opinion of astronomers was that the sun revolved around the earth. A couple guys disagreed. Guess what?
It's the midwest, how else are they going to charge their electric cars?Why do you keep pimping shity, dirty, polluting crap.
Didn't know you had liberal policies.schmick wrote:Its hard to get someone to disagree with where their paycheck is coming from. thats why all the scientists, funded my liberal policies, argue on behalf of the liberal policies
Felix wrote:those who don't believe man is a main driver of anthropomorphic climate change
I don't think "fact" means what he thinks it means.BSmack wrote: