Re: How the Hell is Bama an 18 Point Favorite Over AU?
Posted: Wed Nov 23, 2016 3:36 pm
Sam--
Just looking at it from a high level, Bama has been kicking everybody's a$$ this year by an average margin of almost 30 points per game.
Auburn is arguably anywhere from the best team to the fourth best team that Bama will have played after Saturday.
So, take a third of that 30 points. You got a 10-point spread. The game's in Tuscaloosa, add at least a touchdown and maybe a 2-pt conversion.
Sounds 'bout right.*
* Alright alright, so yes this is a rivalry game and crazy shit happens in these games. But let's not focus all our energy on things we can't quantify.
Just looking at it from a high level, Bama has been kicking everybody's a$$ this year by an average margin of almost 30 points per game.
Auburn is arguably anywhere from the best team to the fourth best team that Bama will have played after Saturday.
So, take a third of that 30 points. You got a 10-point spread. The game's in Tuscaloosa, add at least a touchdown and maybe a 2-pt conversion.
Sounds 'bout right.*
* Alright alright, so yes this is a rivalry game and crazy shit happens in these games. But let's not focus all our energy on things we can't quantify.