2023 Three Best Bets -- Week 5

Screw_Michigan · Post by **Screw_Michigan** » Wed Oct 04, 2023 3:54 pm

Bad week for the players as more than half of us finished under .500

WEEK 4 RESULTS

Troll #3 2-1
Donnie 2-1
Biggie 2-1
Screw 1-1
Poptart 1-1
JSC 1-2
Mikey 1-2
Phibes 1-2
Roach 1-2
HBG 1-2
TWIS 0-1
Jobs 0-3
Smackie 0-3

WEEK 5 STANDINGS

Troll #3 8-4 .667
JSC 7-4-1 .636
Roach 6-5 .545
TWIS 5-5 .500
HPG 6-6 .500
Phibes 6-6 .500
Poptart 4-4-1 .500
Donnie 6-6 .500
Screwball 5-6 .454
Jobs 5-7 .417
Biggie 4-8 .333
Mikey 1-2 .333
Smackie 2-7 .222

WEEK 5 ODDS

CHI +5.5 WSH 44.5
JAX +5.5 BUF 48.5
HOU +2 ATL 41.5
CAR +9.5 DET 44.5
TEN -1 IND 42.5
NYG +10.5 MIA 48.5
NO -1 NE 40
BAL -4 PIT 48.5
CIN -3 ARI 44.5
PHI -4.5 LAR 50.5
NYJ +1.5 DEN 43.5
KC -4 MIN 52.5
DAL +3.5 SF 45
GB -1 LV 44.5

Dr_Phibes · Post by **Dr_Phibes** » Thu Oct 05, 2023 3:11 am

Right, I'll be a man and lead the walk of shame.

BUF - 5.5
IND + 1
ARI + 3

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Thu Oct 05, 2023 1:40 pm

SF -3.5

Thank you, SM!

Steve Jobs · Post by **Steve Jobs** » Thu Oct 05, 2023 3:18 pm

Got my ass whooped last week, fuk. Still a long season.

JAX +5.5
CAR +9.5
NYG +10.5 hex on MIA

Hey Smackie

New avatar = slump buster

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Thu Oct 05, 2023 4:11 pm

HOU/ATL over 41.5
KC -4

and

BAL/PIT under 48.5 - Biggie's 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year

Dr_Phibes · Post by **Dr_Phibes** » Thu Oct 05, 2023 6:04 pm

Biggie wrote: ↑Thu Oct 05, 2023 4:11 pm

BAL/PIT under 48.5 - Biggie's 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year

You have to like that, the big joke on Bills radio today is every Ravens/Steelers game ever played has had the exact same score. 16 - 15

Donnie Baker's Ghost · Fri Oct 06, 2023 12:05 am

Screw_Michigan wrote: ↑Wed Oct 04, 2023 3:54 pm WEEK 4 RESULTS

Donnie 2-1

Thanks.

CHI /WSH under 44.5
NO / NE under 40
CIN / ARI under 44.5

Roach · Post by **Roach** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 12:49 am

BAL -4
PHI -4.5
KC -4

Troll#3 · Post by **Troll#3** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 1:12 am

CHI / WSH 44.5 Under
CAR / DET 44.5 Under
NYG / MIA 48.5 Under

Smackie Chan · Post by **Smackie Chan** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 1:13 am

BAL -4
KC -4
SF -3.5

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 1:42 am

Biggie wrote: ↑Thu Oct 05, 2023 4:11 pm HOU/ATL over 41.5
KC -4

and

BAL/PIT under 48.5 - Biggie's 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year

I am confused.

This was the proposal for Biggie's 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year...

Biggie wrote:And a spicy suggestion-each player gets to designate 1 game (for the whole year) as their 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year. If they get it right, it counts for 3-0. Lose, 0-3. Push, 0-1.

I was under the assumption that when a player uses his 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year, it is the only game he is picking that week.

Hence, he could go 0-3 or 3-0, depending on how that pick goes.

But Biggie has made 3 picks this week.
So, he could go 0-5 or 5-0.

Is this what we wanted from the 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year?

Are we cool with this?

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 3:01 am

Yes, I meant that you could go 5-0 that week. One of your picks is tripled. Didn’t realize that was confusing.

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 10:57 am

Okay.

Good luck with the pick!

Mikey · Post by **Mikey** » Fri Oct 06, 2023 5:13 pm

BUF -5.5
SF -3.5
MIA -10.5

The Whistle Is Screaming · Fri Oct 06, 2023 8:15 pm

TEN -1 IND 42.5 - IND
NYG +10.5 MIA 48.5 - MIA
NO -1 NE 40 - NE

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:34 am

Mikey wrote:SF -3.3

You trying to throw SM a curveball here?

:smile:

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:50 am

Biggie wrote:BAL/PIT under 48.5 - Biggie's 3BB Triple Play Lock of the Year

Btw, SM goofed on this line.

The over/under SM read was 38.5, but he goofed and typed 48.5
Brain fart.
Shit happens when you are doing all of the tabulations and setting the weekly lines.

So, Biggie has GREAT value with this pick.

It should pay off for him.

We'll see...

Mikey · Post by **Mikey** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 2:19 am

Softball Bat wrote: ↑Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:34 am
Mikey wrote:SF -3.3
You trying to throw SM a curveball here?

:smile:

Oops…fat thumbs.

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 3:25 am

in the Week 1 thread, Screw_Michigan wrote: ↑Wed Oct 04, 2023 3:54 pm
If the line is different from "everywhere you look," then use that to your advantage. Sometimes mistakes are made as well. Use those to your advantage. Or whine and cry.

Dr_Phibes · Post by **Dr_Phibes** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 7:14 am

Softball Bat wrote: ↑Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:50 am
It should pay off for him.

We'll see...

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:23 pm

Dr_Phibes wrote: ↑Sat Oct 07, 2023 7:14 am
poptart wrote: ↑Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:50 am
It should pay off for him.

We'll see...

If I had noticed earlier that SM posted a line that was 10 pts off, I would have let him know.

I I didn't notice the error until after someone (Biggie) had already bet on the line SM posted.

Biggie bet on the line that was posted.

So it is.

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 5:12 pm

Softball Bat wrote: ↑Sat Oct 07, 2023 1:23 pm
If I had noticed earlier that SM posted a line that was 10 pts off, I would have let him know.

I don’t get the sense that Screwy is wild about people second-guessing his methods.

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Sat Oct 07, 2023 6:14 pm

Yeah, if you had questioned SM's line, he might have told you to hit the bricks.

Or sentenced you to confinement in kcdave's Weekend Rolll Call threads for the rest of the season.

Well, it's not like Biggie is gaining some sort of unfair advantage by betting the line SM posted.

Anyone can make that over/under one of their picks if they want to.

They can also make it their "Lock of the Year" pick if they want to.

Now watch BAL put up 70 on PIT this Sunday!

lol

HighPlainsGrifter · Post by **HighPlainsGrifter** » Sun Oct 08, 2023 6:01 am

CHI @ WSH under 44.5
BUF -5.5
NO @ NE under 40

Screw_Michigan · Post by **Screw_Michigan** » Sun Oct 08, 2023 1:12 pm

MIA -10.5
NO -1
BAL -4

Screw_Michigan · Post by **Screw_Michigan** » Sun Oct 08, 2023 9:14 pm

Fukkin Ravens shafted me out of being 3-0 by 4 pm ET. FUKK!

Mikey · Post by **Mikey** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 12:00 am

Fukken pumped for the Niners vs Cowgirls. Two top teams with a whole lot of history. This could be epoch. And we won’t have to cut to Tyler Swift every five minutes.

Fuck Dallas BTW.

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:15 am

HighPlainsGrifter wrote: ↑Sun Oct 08, 2023 6:01 am CHI @ WSH under 44.5

This contest is being played at a high level.

The Whistle Is Screaming · Mon Oct 09, 2023 1:57 pm

The Whistle Is Screaming wrote: ↑Fri Oct 06, 2023 8:15 pm NO -1 NE 40 - NE

Just a bit outside.

HighPlainsGrifter · Post by **HighPlainsGrifter** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:28 pm

Biggie wrote: ↑Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:15 am
HighPlainsGrifter wrote: ↑Sun Oct 08, 2023 6:01 am CHI @ WSH under 44.5
This contest is being played at a high level.

I warned you guys I haven't watched more than 5 minutes of NFL in 10 years. Still kicking half the asses in here.

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:39 pm

It wasn't so much the pick, as the timing. CHI/WAS played on Thursday.

Mikey · Post by **Mikey** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:47 pm

Biggie wrote: ↑Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:39 pm It wasn't so much the pick, as the timing. CHI/WAS played on Thursday.

Even I’m paying closer attention than that.

HighPlainsGrifter · Post by **HighPlainsGrifter** » Mon Oct 09, 2023 5:46 pm

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Tue Oct 10, 2023 12:15 am

haha!

Live and learn.

Softball Bat · Post by **Softball Bat** » Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:04 am

Btw, HPG's CHI/WAS pick should not be scored as a loss for him.

He did not get that pick IN on time, so it should be scored as NO PICK.

Mikey · Post by **Mikey** » Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:13 am

Softball Bat wrote: ↑Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:04 am Btw, HPG's CHI/WAS pick should not be scored as a loss for him.

He did not get that pick IN on time, so it should be scored as NO PICK.

Damn, pops, you’re too easy. I think, as punishment and a preemptive measure, he should have to forfeit and take losses on all thee of this week’s picks.

But that’s just me.

Screw_Michigan · Post by **Screw_Michigan** » Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:30 am

Softball Bat wrote: ↑Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:04 am Btw, HPG's CHI/WAS pick should not be scored as a loss for him.

He did not get that pick IN on time, so it should be scored as NO PICK.

Correct

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Wed Oct 11, 2023 4:38 am

Excellent ruling. Pops and Screwball are the best in the biz.

The Whistle Is Screaming · Wed Oct 11, 2023 2:56 pm

Biggie wrote: ↑Wed Oct 11, 2023 4:38 am Excellent ruling. Pops and Screwball are the best in the biz.

Sin
kcdud

FTFY

Biggie · Post by **Biggie** » Wed Oct 11, 2023 3:40 pm

No, I do think it was the correct (only) ruling. I wasn't being sarcastic.