New BCS rules

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Terry in Crapchester
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New BCS rules

Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Given the rather significant changes that are going to take place in the BCS this year, I'm surprised this hasn't been discussed, what with kickoff only a little more than two months away.

The BCS will consider teams in the Top 14 of the final BCS poll for an at-large bid (the cutoff used to be Top 12). Notre Dame is assured of an at-large bid if ND finishes in the Top 8 of the final BCS poll (used to be Top 6, although I believe the so-called "Notre Dame exception" is now gone). The biggest change occurs for teams that are members of a non-BCS conference. Those teams are now assured of a BCS bid if they finish in the Top 12, or if they finish in the Top 16 and ahead of at least one team receiving a BCS bid. http://www.azcentral.com/sports/college ... s0427.html

The impact of that rule is potentially staggering. So far, only Utah in '04 has qualified for the BCS from that group. But if we were to assume, hypothetically, that this situation had been in place from the beginning, the following teams also would have qualified:
  • Tulane in 1998 (finished #10).
  • Marshall in 1999 (finished #12).
  • TCU in 2000 (finished #14 and ahead of Michigan, who received the Big Ten automatic bid that season but was not ranked in the final BCS poll, which at the time ranked only the Top 15).
  • Miami (Ohio) in 2003 (finished #10).
  • Boise State (finished #7) and Louisville (finished #10) in addition to Utah in 2004 (note that Louisville was a member of C-USA at the time).
  • TCU in 2005 (finished #14 and ahead of Florida State, who received the ACC automatic bid and finished #22).
Also, although I can't find the link for it right now, my understanding is that the six current BCS conferences are guaranteed automatic bids only through the 2007 season. Beginning in 2008, all conferences will be reevaluated for performance over the preceding four-year period based on each conference's membership in 2007. The BCS will then award automatic bids to certain conferences, with a minimum of five and maximum of seven such automatic bids.

Thoughts?
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Re: New BCS rules

Post by JayDuck »

Terry in Crapchester wrote:Those teams are now assured of a BCS bid if they finish in the Top 12, or if they finish in the Top 16 and ahead of at least one team receiving a BCS bid.
I wasn't aware of this rule. With the Big East's auto-bid it wouldn't be that unusual to have a 14+ team in there.
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Re: New BCS rules

Post by Terry in Crapchester »

JayDuck wrote:
Terry in Crapchester wrote:Those teams are now assured of a BCS bid if they finish in the Top 12, or if they finish in the Top 16 and ahead of at least one team receiving a BCS bid.
I wasn't aware of this rule. With the Big East's auto-bid it wouldn't be that unusual to have a 14+ team in there.
Actually, the Big East champ has only finished below 14 twice (Syracuse in '98, Pitt in '04). The two times previously when a non-BCS team would have been in the BCS with a finish below 12, the culprits were the Big Ten (Michigan in '00) and the ACC (Florida State in '05). Note, however, that non-BCS teams also could have claimed BCS bids in similar fashion in '98 (Syracuse at #15), '99 (Stanford unranked in Top 15), '02 (Florida State at #14), and '04 (Pittsburgh at #21).

If anybody's keeping track, the culprits are:

ACC: 2
Big East: 2
Big Ten: 1
Pac-10: 1
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Post by JayDuck »

True enough, though we are talking about the "new" Big East now which is different than what it's been for most of the BCS
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

The "new" Big East has two teams ranked, at least by some publications, as preseason Top 10 teams. If either one of them can get through the season with no more than one loss, they should stay in the Top 10.

If the "new" Big East is as bad as you suggest, they might not be a factor beyond '07 in this regard.

In any event, it seems shocking to me that they've made such a comparatively easy path to the BCS for teams in the non-BCS conferences. Big East might actually be better off losing its automatic BCS bid, in that West Virginia would have qualified last year in any event.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

My bad, it was Purdue that went to the BCS from the Big Ten in '00. Like Michigan, they were also unranked in the final BCS Top 15.
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Post by MuchoBulls »

Louisville's final 2004 BCS rankings does count for the Big East (RACK Mike Tranghese), and with WVU's 2005 finish, and either Louisville or WVU's potential high finish in 2006, the Big East will be just fine when evaluation time comes.
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Post by Harvdog »

The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference. It is like in Mystery, Alaska. Did they deserve to play for the Cup because they beat the Rangers? :lol:
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Another point to consider is that the difference between the Big East being a part of the BCS and not being a part of the BCS is the difference between a majority of D1A teams being a part of the BCS and a minority of D1A teams being a part of the BCS, even though the Big East is not a big conference in terms of membership. For that reason, the BCS could go out of its way to ensure that 6 conferences are part of the BCS in any event. And as long as that's the case, things look good for the Big East.

Having said all of that, BCS teams being a majority of D1A may not be as important an issue as it once was, given the relative ease of access the non-BCS conferences now have to the BCS as opposed to before.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Harvdog wrote:The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference. It is like in Mystery, Alaska. Did they deserve to play for the Cup because they beat the Rangers? :lol:
Any system that proports to crown a national champion, but which systematically disqualifies ND because ND is an independent, will never be accepted by college football's fanbase. Sorry you don't like that, but that's the way it is.
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Post by Harvdog »

Terry in Crapchester wrote: Any system that proports to crown a national champion, but which systematically disqualifies ND because ND is an independent, will never be accepted by college football's fanbase. Sorry you don't like that, but that's the way it is.
This is why we need a playoff.
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Post by Qbert »

Harvdog wrote:The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference. It is like in Mystery, Alaska. Did they deserve to play for the Cup because they beat the Rangers? :lol:
i had this conversation 20 years ago with 2 fraternity brothers that were Homer Domers.

the fact IS...rational people see it for what it IS.....if Homer Dame PLAYED in A CONFERENCE.....it might be a Struggle. and Homer Dame only sees it for the....we'll take on Anyone...after the Academies....for the....errr...MONEY.

why Homer Dame isn't in the Big 10whatever is only because Homer Dame NOW pulls a TV Contract; after years of denial of being Northwestern's replacement.

Homer Dame should NOT get any special seeding; especially when you always play Navy at a neutral site.

INDEPENDENT Terry?

Nice STRENGTH of SCHEDULE!

i LIKE what Charlie Weis has done...CRUTCHES!

the animosity is directed to the ADMINISTRATION.

heh heh....i'll give tOSU its 1st home/home since 1936.....if we're able to have church secrets kept "SECRET!"

~sin

yadda yadda yadda! :mrgreen:


money

or

credibilty?

who knows, maybe Weis will BRING it all DOME!

[i'm an "in and out Terry" on this...can't check this for 24-36 hrs.] jus'sayin.

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Post by MgoBlue-LightSpecial »

The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference
I wish ND would join the Big Ten, but I certainly disagree with your statement. I mean, in the end isn't it just about beating teams on your schedule? ND routinely plays one of the toughest schedules in the country. Take a look at their schedule and then take a look at WVU's, and tell me who you think would be "more deserving" of playing for a championship.
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Post by Mr T »

I wish FSU was still Independent.

Damn. Those were the days.
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Post by Adelpiero »

mystery never beat the rangers


and i thought the new bcs rule was:

as long as Notre Dame is over .500, they are entitled to one of the top 4 bowl bids.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Harvdog wrote:
Terry in Crapchester wrote: Any system that proports to crown a national champion, but which systematically disqualifies ND because ND is an independent, will never be accepted by college football's fanbase. Sorry you don't like that, but that's the way it is.
This is why we need a playoff.
Agreed. And to be honest, given that ND wants to remain independent, and the overwhelming majority of its fanbase wants to remain independent (especially the overwhelming majority of alumni, overwhelming majority of heavy donors and overwhelming majority of the most vocal section of its fanbase), I can't for the life of me figure out why we're not leading the drumbeat for a playoff.

A playoff renders conference affiliation moot. Strength of schedule is more important than conference affiliation in that circumstance, and only the most biased of ND haters would argue that ND's strength of schedule as an independent is inadequate.
Qbert wrote:why Homer Dame isn't in the Big 10whatever is only because Homer Dame NOW pulls a TV Contract; after years of denial of being Northwestern's replacement.
Years of denial of being Northwestern's replacement? You really don't know much about ND's history with the Big Ten, do you?

Fact: ND applied for membership in the Big Ten's predecessor conference in the 1920's and was turned down. The reason? They didn't want a Catholic school as a member of their conference. And at the time, that was pretty much ND's entire raison d'etre: they weren't yet recognized as a premier academic university, and much of ND's football lore had not yet been written.

As a result, ND basically thumbed its nose at the Big Ten, and decided to build a football powerhouse within the footprint of the Big Ten as an independent. To borrow an overworked cliche from another forum, mission accomplished. Now, of course, the shoe is on the other foot -- the Big Ten wants ND but ND isn't interested in the Big Ten. Seems to me to be a bit of poetic justice, although that's just mho.

Here's another fact: ND actually came closer to joining the ACC in '03 than it ever has to joining the Big Ten. This despite the fact that the ACC has no member schools within 600 miles of ND's campus, that ND has no natural rivalries within the ACC (Georgia Tech and Miami both were once annual/semi-annual rivalries, but both ended years ago), and that the ACC primarily services an area of the country where ND's fanbase is weakest (the South). Only the fact that the NCAA denied the ACC's request to hold a championship game with only 11 members, combined with the fact that the two sides couldn't agree on the timing of ND's entry into the conference, killed the deal (which turned out to be a blessing for ND, again imho).
Homer Dame should NOT get any special seeding; especially when you always play Navy at a neutral site.
It's been discussed in here before why we play Navy annually. Long story short, the answer is World War II. Colleges around the country took significant hits in enrollment during World War II, and all-male colleges, of which ND was one at the time, were particularly hard hit. The Navy established a sizeable NROTC Unit at Notre Dame, and as a result, Notre Dame was able to keep its doors open while a lot of colleges in otherwise similar circumstances had to close. As a result, Notre Dame plays Navy every year, as something of a debt of honor. I won't say that the series will never end, but if it does, it'll be on Navy's terms, not ND's.

As for the reason why Navy's "home" game is on a neutral field, the main reason is to accommodate ticket demand for ND's fanbase. In most years, Navy's "home" game is played somewhere in the northeast. The largest section of ND's fanbase actually resides in the northeast, so there's heavy ticket demand for this game from ND fans, and Michie Stadium just isn't big enough to accommodate that demand. Navy gets the home share of the gate for this game, so it's win-win.
INDEPENDENT Terry?

Nice STRENGTH of SCHEDULE!
Any unbiased (or even biased but realistic) person can see that Notre Dame's strength of schedule, even in a worst case scenario, is comparable to the median strength of schedule among teams in BCS conferences. In 2003, we had the toughest schedule in the country, beyond a doubt. Even last year, when our schedule took so much criticism, 6 of the 11 teams on the schedule were ranked in the Top 25 at one point or another during the season. Granted, a lot of teams on our schedule last year ended up having down seasons, by their own standards, but that wasn't foreseeable, and certainly it wasn't ND's fault.

If we joined the Big East, undoubtedly our strength of schedule would become weaker, not stronger.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Mr T wrote:I wish FSU was still Independent.

Damn. Those were the days.
Agreed, along with Penn State, Miami, . . . . It was nicer, at least to my way of thinking, when ND wasn't the "only" independent (we're not really the only independent, but we're the only one that people care about viz. the BCS). Not to mention that independence was an important part of college football's history, now more or less gone forever except for ND.
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Post by Danimal »

I think the powers-that-be definitely kiss ND's ass way too much, treating them differently than other non-BCS teams. But they should not join a con. They make too much money and have too much tradition as an independent, they also play a legit sched, if they whoo-ass against said sched they belong in a major bowl.
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Post by Killian »

Qbert wrote:Homer Dame should NOT get any special seeding; especially when you always play Navy at a neutral site.
And they still give Navy the "home" portion of the gate.
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Post by King Crimson »

I don't know, with all respect to PSUfan and the buddy of mine i'm going to indirectly disparage.....i put up with some mouth-running about the "historical weakness" of the Big 8 from a PSU grad buddy....so i did some research on PSU's schedules as an independent and they were pretty piss poor. lots of the Duquesne's and Bucknell's of the world. and Army and Navy.

i'd like to see ND join a conference (seems to work OK in hoops)....but no one ever points out that during the TW years and all but Davie masterpiece of "how to get yer asskicked by the Beavers" that ND didn't get BCS revenue those years nor did it get a conference $$ share of bowl revenue.
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Post by SoCalTrjn »

How much money does ND pay the teams that they play on the games that air on NBC? Is it easier for them to give schools like Navy the home revenue f the gate when they have their own TV contract and keep all of the money from whatever bowl they attend?
Quit blowing smoke up peoples butts about tradition, Notre Dame doesnt join a conference cause they dont want to share the money.
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Post by Killian »

SoCalTrjn wrote:How much money does ND pay the teams that they play on the games that air on NBC? Is it easier for them to give schools like Navy the home revenue f the gate when they have their own TV contract and keep all of the money from whatever bowl they attend?
Quit blowing smoke up peoples butts about tradition, Notre Dame doesnt join a conference cause they dont want to share the money.
ND has always given Navy the home share of the cut on their scheduled neutral games. They also give Navy a huge cut when they come to ND.

Why should ND join a confrence? They make more money as an independent and can still play for the BCS championship. Win-win situation.
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Post by Left Seater »

A playoff renders conference affiliation moot. Strength of schedule is more important than conference affiliation in that circumstance...
I understand you were speaking here about ND, but that is my main issue with a playoff. If we ever have a playoff it should maintain the integrity of the regular season. A playoff makes ND v Mich or ND v USC nothing more than a rivalry game. On a national scale it really means nothing other than potential playoff seeding. If we go to a playoff there should be no more than 4 teams.

If we ever do get a 4 team playoff I think all 117 teams should be included, but if you aren't in the top 4 then there should be no special deals that favor ND or any other indy.
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Post by Danimal »

Left Seater wrote:
A playoff renders conference affiliation moot. Strength of schedule is more important than conference affiliation in that circumstance...
I understand you were speaking here about ND, but that is my main issue with a playoff. If we ever have a playoff it should maintain the integrity of the regular season. A playoff makes ND v Mich or ND v USC nothing more than a rivalry game. On a national scale it really means nothing other than potential playoff seeding. If we go to a playoff there should be no more than 4 teams.

If we ever do get a 4 team playoff I think all 117 teams should be included, but if you aren't in the top 4 then there should be no special deals that favor ND or any other indy.
Totally agree. I've always said it should be a only a four-team playoff. You could use the BCS-bowls for the playoff. The playoff should be for everyone with no special treatment for any team or con. The four teams that have the most points via whatever system you use should get the spots, period.
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Post by MiketheangrydrunkenCUfan »

Terry in Crapchester wrote:
Harvdog wrote:The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference. It is like in Mystery, Alaska. Did they deserve to play for the Cup because they beat the Rangers? :lol:
Any system that proports to crown a national champion, but which systematically disqualifies ND because ND is an independent, will never be accepted by college football's fanbase. Sorry you don't like that, but that's the way it is.
Nobody is arguing for disqualifying ND. They just shouldn't be treated any differently than any other independent school. If you replaced "Notre Dame" with "any independent school" in the wording of the BCS contract, you could essentially accomplish the same thing without blatantly giving preferential treatment one particular school. The way it's set up now, ND is receiving preferential treatment, and that's bullshit, regardless of their history or tradition.
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Post by Danimal »

MiketheangrydrunkenCUfan wrote:
Terry in Crapchester wrote:
Harvdog wrote:The fact that ND gets any kind of treatment is a total joke. If they want to play for all the marbles, they should join a conference. It is like in Mystery, Alaska. Did they deserve to play for the Cup because they beat the Rangers? :lol:
Any system that proports to crown a national champion, but which systematically disqualifies ND because ND is an independent, will never be accepted by college football's fanbase. Sorry you don't like that, but that's the way it is.
Nobody is arguing for disqualifying ND. They just shouldn't be treated any differently than any other independent school. If you replaced "Notre Dame" with "any independent school" in the wording of the BCS contract, you could essentially accomplish the same thing without blatantly giving preferential treatment one particular school. The way it's set up now, ND is receiving preferential treatment, and that's bullshit, regardless of their history or tradition.
Bingo. The same rules should apply for ND as for Temple or Navy. We all know that ND will get preferential treatment in terms of getting an at-large selection because they bring fans/viewers but no-way should it be a rule that they get preferential treatment.
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Post by indyfrisco »

I'd go as far to say that not only should it say "any independent" but it should say "any school who is in 1-A and is either an independent or their conference champion does not get an automatic bid".

Mountain West, Conf USA, MAC, Sun Belt, WAC for example.
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Post by MiketheangrydrunkenCUfan »

IndyFrisco wrote:I'd go as far to say that not only should it say "any independent" but it should say "any school who is in 1-A and is either an independent or their conference champion does not get an automatic bid".

Mountain West, Conf USA, MAC, Sun Belt, WAC for example.
That's an interesting distinction. If I'm reading it right, a school in a non-BCS conference actually has an easier time getting an automatic bid than ND. :? Not sure if that makes any sense either. So Wyoming (for example) only has to finish in the top 12, whereas ND has to finish in the top 8? Am I not reading it right? Because it seems like there could potentially be a scenario where there could be more "guaranteed" berths than actual spots...
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Post by SoCalTrjn »

any system that relies on polls and rankings is going to have bias and be unfair, there will always be teams who people will feel had an easier schedule or route to the bowls.
Traditionalists wont like the only way that seems to remove all of the unfairness but they are also the ones who are in control and preventing change.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

MiketheangrydrunkenCUfan wrote:
IndyFrisco wrote:I'd go as far to say that not only should it say "any independent" but it should say "any school who is in 1-A and is either an independent or their conference champion does not get an automatic bid".

Mountain West, Conf USA, MAC, Sun Belt, WAC for example.
That's an interesting distinction. If I'm reading it right, a school in a non-BCS conference actually has an easier time getting an automatic bid than ND. :? Not sure if that makes any sense either. So Wyoming (for example) only has to finish in the top 12, whereas ND has to finish in the top 8? Am I not reading it right?
Yes, you are.

And in fact, Wyoming could finish in the Top 16 and be guaranteed an at-large bid if one of the teams getting an automatic bid were to finish lower than they did.

As for other independents, I'm pretty sure that Navy or Temple (this year; they join the MAC in '07) would also be assured an at-large bid if they finished Top 8. But that's not a very realistic scenario in either case.
Because it seems like there could potentially be a scenario where there could be more "guaranteed" berths than actual spots...
Yes, there could. And for that matter, that could have happened under the old rules. Under the old rules, if it did happen, the BCS bowls were able to pick from among the teams qualifying for at-large bids.

The ironic thing is that the fifth BCS bowl was rumored to have come about largely to fix the inequity for BCS teams who finished highly ranked but without a guaranteed at-large bid (e.g., teams who finished #5). Yet, because of the rules they ultimately adopted, Cal in '04 would not have qualified for a BCS bowl, as the BCS that year would have been required to take not only Utah, but also Boise State and Louisville (in C-USA in '04).
Killian wrote:ND has always given Navy the home share of the cut on their scheduled neutral games. They also give Navy a huge cut when they come to ND.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I always thought that every team who played ND at ND got a share of the TV revenue from NBC, although obviously not as much as ND gets.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

SoCalTrjn wrote:Quit blowing smoke up peoples butts about tradition, Notre Dame doesnt join a conference cause they dont want to share the money.
It is about tradition. The TV contract is a means to an end (continued independence), not an end of itself. Without the TV contract, ND probably would have to join a conference, as the costs and risk of continued independence might be too much even for ND to afford. You see it the way you want to see it because you hate ND, plain and simple.

As for not sharing the money, as I said in my previous post, I understand that every team that comes to ND to play gets a share of the TV revenue. And for that matter, if ND were to join the Big Ten, there would be no more TV revenue, as the Big Ten certainly would require ND to give up the TV contract (although the Big East probably would allow ND to continue the TV contract, assuming NBC were still interested).
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Killian wrote:Why should ND join a confrence? They make more money as an independent and can still play for the BCS championship. Win-win situation.
The inconsistency this board has shown on this topic always has confused me.

I've never done it, but I'd bet that if I were to start a poll about whether people here want ND to join a conference, and if so, which one, the overwhelming majority of this board would weigh in that they would like to see ND join the Big Ten. I would further submit that that sentiment would extend beyond Big Ten fan. At the same time, the overwhelming majority of this board also wants to maximize the amount of college football games that are televised, even when it's a bad idea.

The inconsistency here, of course, is that if ND were to join the Big Ten, ND's contract with NBC would go away. That's six nationally televised games per year. By my estimate, that's approximately 4% of college football's current TV timeslots. Not quite sure why people are inconsistent in their approach to these two matters, unless they simply haven't connected the dots.
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Post by Killian »

Terry,

I think each team gets a portion of the NBC revenue, but I think that ND gives Navy either extra NBC money or extra gate money. Either way, they make out pretty well when they come to ND.
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Post by Killian »

Now that they have decided to star broadcasting NFL games, they would likely try to get some college games. A few years ago? Not a chance in hell.

And if ND joined the Big 10, the NBC contract would likely be phased out within a few years.
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Post by Terry in Crapchester »

Believe the Heupel wrote:
Terry in Crapchester wrote:
Killian wrote:Why should ND join a confrence? They make more money as an independent and can still play for the BCS championship. Win-win situation.
The inconsistency this board has shown on this topic always has confused me.

I've never done it, but I'd bet that if I were to start a poll about whether people here want ND to join a conference, and if so, which one, the overwhelming majority of this board would weigh in that they would like to see ND join the Big Ten. I would further submit that that sentiment would extend beyond Big Ten fan. At the same time, the overwhelming majority of this board also wants to maximize the amount of college football games that are televised, even when it's a bad idea.

The inconsistency here, of course, is that if ND were to join the Big Ten, ND's contract with NBC would go away. That's six nationally televised games per year. By my estimate, that's approximately 4% of college football's current TV timeslots. Not quite sure why people are inconsistent in their approach to these two matters, unless they simply haven't connected the dots.
Terry, you're smarter than that.

Do you really think that even if Notre Dame joined the Big Ten and the Big Ten and Notre Dame's lawyers weren't smart enough to negotiate with ABC the ability for ND to contract their own home games
I don't think the Big Ten would allow ND to contract their own home games if ND became a member of the Big Ten. I suppose I could be wrong about that, but that's my hunch.
that NBC wouldn't just go out and start broadcasting other games?
Granted, this is a possibility. But prior to last year, ratings for ND games had been mostly declining for several years. Yet NBC reupped with ND as recently as 2003. Bad as ND's situation was at the time, football-wise, NBC didn't have a more attractive option available to it, apparently. Of course, if renewing with ND weren't an option, NBC might have found a replacement somewhere.
I'm pretty sure that ABC would be savvy enough to realize that the additional revenue they'd get from broadcasting Notre Dame games at Michigan or Ohio State every year would offset any hypothetical losses from not being able to broadcast Notre Dame's home games-which they don't get ANYHOW.
ABC already gets revenue from broadcasting ND's games at Michigan. At this point, that series only occasionally takes a breather. Since the series resumed in 1978, ND and Michigan have met 22 times out of 28 seasons. http://www.cfbdatawarehouse.com/data/di ... eamid=1977

ND @ Ohio State would be a ratings bonanza for ABC, but that likely wouldn't be an annual matchup if ND joined the Big Ten.

In any event, the bottom line of what I was getting at was that if ND joined the Big Ten, and the Big Ten did not allow ND to keep its NBC contract (which I believe would happen if ND joined the Big Ten), six time slots currently allotted to college football telecasts would be lost unless NBC somehow replaced ND with another contract.
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Post by Shoalzie »

BCS...what is that? :wink:
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Post by indyfrisco »

Shoalzie wrote:BCS...what is that? :wink:
Bull Chit Stuff, Mang!
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