2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

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Softball Bat
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2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Softball Bat »

Hit me up if you see that I have made an error(s) fans.
I will get it corrected ASAP.

Biggie is very antsy, and I can see that he wants to *pop* the cork on his champagne.
There are still 12 days until the Super Bowl.



Image



HPG has done a nice job in the 2nd half of the season.
A few other participants have fallen off some.
I guess that's just the way things roll.

Donnie B. and Kluba will move to the *bottom* of the standings after the Super Bowl.
You must get 44 picks IN to be eligible for the title, and it's not fair to have part-timers finish ahead of players who got their 44 picks IN this season.
Get 'em IN next year, fellas.
You're both capable of very good stuff.

Good luck with your Super Bowl selections!


Conference Championship Sunday Scores
Roach: 2-1 – well done
Dr_Phibes: 1-2 – the BUF/KC over saved you
TWIS: 1-1 – the Bills were so close
poptart: 2-0 – feels good
Roux: 1-2 – no mojo
HPG: 2-1 – good job
Mike Ditka: 2-1 – also good
Steve Jobs: 1-2 – tough sledding
Kluba: 2-0 – nice!
Donnie Baker: 4-1 – LoTY comes through!
Biggie: 1-2 – not your best
Troll#3: 2-1 – productive week
StrawMan: 2-1 – good work on the overs
Mikey: 1-2 – buried you



Standing
Biggie: 34-22 .607
Mike Ditka: 38-26 .594
Troll#3: 35-24 .593
StrawMan: 36-25 .590
Mikey: 36-26 .581
TWIS: 27-20 .574
Dr_Phibes: 35-28 .556
Screw_Michigan: 28-24 .538
HPG: 24-21 .533
Donnie Baker: 8-7 .533
Mister_Falcon: 29-28 .509
poptart: 25-26 .490
Roux: 27-30 .474
Kluba: 9-10 .474
Roach: 28-36 .438
Steve Jobs: 22-34 .393



Super Bowl
KC -1.5 @ PHI (N.O.) 49.5
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88 wrote:I have no idea who Weaselberg is
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Roach
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roach »

Kudos to Pops and Screwy for running this thing. Since I am doing so damn well, I decided to do a little analysis of how things might go for the big game.

First of all, can we make two picks for the big game, one for a team and another for the over/under?

This shows results if Biggie loses one or two of his picks and Mike and/or T3 win one or two. You can figure if Biggie goes one for one, or just makes one pick, but the bottom line is we still have a horse race.

Biggie
Win Lose Total Percent
34 22 56 0.6071 current standing

34 23 57 0.5965
34 24 58 0.5862

Mike D.
Win Lose Total Percent
38 26 64 0.5938 current standing

39 26 65 0.6000
40 26 66 0.6061

Troll#3
Win Lose Total Percent
35 24 59 0.5932 current standing

36 24 60 0.6000
37 24 61 0.6066

I used excel for the math so it's probably correct. Good times. :popcorn:
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Softball Bat
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Softball Bat »

Nice work, Roach!


Roach wrote:First of all, can we make two picks for the big game, one for a team and another for the over/under?
You can make two (or three) picks for the big game.
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88 wrote:I have no idea who Weaselberg is
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Softball Bat
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Softball Bat »

Roach wrote:the bottom line is we still have a horse race
Biggie could sit on his lead and nobody can catch him.
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88 wrote:I have no idea who Weaselberg is
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HighPlainsGrifter
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by HighPlainsGrifter »

Softball Bat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 2:37 am HPG has done a nice job in the 2nd half of the season.
Thanks. I used the same approach to analytics in the second half, but picked the exact opposite.
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Roach
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roach »

Softball Bat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 3:44 pm
Roach wrote:the bottom line is we still have a horse race
Biggie could sit on his lead and nobody can catch him.
Yes, and here is a look at that...

Biggie
Win Lose Total
34 22 56 0.6071 Current standing

35 22 57 0.6140
36 22 58 0.6207

34 23 57 0.5965
34 24 58 0.5862

Mike D
Win Lose Total
38 26 64 0.5938 Current standing
39 26 65 0.6000
40 26 66 0.6061

T3
Win Lose Total
35 24 59 0.5932 Current standing
36 24 60 0.6000
37 24 61 0.6066

:0071:
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StrawMan
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by StrawMan »

Good stuff, Roach. Thanks!
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Troll#3
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Troll#3 »

Image

:drink:
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Roach
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roach »

KC -1.5
KC / PHI 49.5 Over
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Mikey
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Mikey »

Mikey: 1-2 – buried you
Slowly sinking into the smoky sunset.

I love alliteration.
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Roach
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roach »

Better than being below the bottom of the bowl and badly below Biggie...

:simpson11:
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Steve Jobs
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Steve Jobs »

KC / PHI 49.5 Under

PHI +1.5

In a race for the cellar . . .
Biggie wrote: Jobs must be stopped.
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HighPlainsGrifter
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by HighPlainsGrifter »

PHI +1.5 <---3BB TRIPLE PLAY LOCK

Under 49.5
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Softball Bat »

Under 49.5



Thank you, SM!
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88 wrote:I have no idea who Weaselberg is
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by The Seer »

Roger Goodell Brushes Off Concerns About Biased Officiating

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NEW ORLEANS, LA — As festivities ramped up in preparation for Super Bowl LIX this Sunday, National Football League Commissioner Roger Goodell brushed off any concerns about biased officiating.

While allegations from fans and media that the Kansas City Chiefs regularly benefitted from referees turning games in their favor persisted throughout the season, Goodell adamantly refused to give them any credence.

"These accusations regarding our officials are preposterous and without merit," he said while decked out in Chiefs gear. "Our officials take great pride in their jobs and take the integrity of the game seriously. Our fans can rest assured that this Sunday's game, like every NFL game, will be called right down the middle. It will be a fair game to determine a winner, whether that ends up being the Chiefs or the Chiefs."

Despite wearing a Patrick Mahomes #15 jersey and Chiefs cap instead of his traditional tailored suit, Goodell maintained that the NFL would never show preferential treatment to any one team over another. "It's ridiculous," he said. "Beyond the fact that they never lose, always seem to have penalties against their opponents at the most crucial moments, and the established mandate that Patrick Mahomes not be touched, there is no evidence that the NFL is biased toward the Chiefs."

Goodell then excused himself to attend a private lunch at the invitation of Taylor Swift.

At publishing time, the NFL had told the Philadelphia Eagles not to pay any attention to "Kansas City Chiefs" already being engraved on the Lombardi Trophy.
“It is usually futile to try to talk facts and analysis to people who are enjoying a sense of moral superiority in their ignorance.”
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by The Whistle Is Screaming »

PHL +1.5
Over 49.5

Thanks Pops & Screwy for another great season of 3bb fun.

Mazel Tov Biggie!
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Roux
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roux »

Softball Bat wrote: Wed Jan 29, 2025 3:42 pmYou can make two (or three) picks for the big game.

I must be missing something.

You can pick KC or Phil, and you can pick over or under.

What is the third possible bet? Coin toss?
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Softball Bat
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Softball Bat »

The operative word is can.

A person can make 3 picks this week.
Three Best Bets.

But as you recognize, a 3rd pick cannot help a person at all.
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Re: 2024 Three Best Bets - Super Bowl

Post by Roux »

PHI +1.5 3BB lock

Over 49.5
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